9. 伊拉克和沙特阿拉伯 (Iraq and Saudi Arabia) (并列)
The final chapter has not been written in Iraq. Saddam may not have posed the threat Bush ascribed to him, but the fragmentation of this country (particularly in Kurdistan) could be massively destabilizing in the region and create real problems with Turkey, Iran, and Russia. The Saudis support terror, their succession picture is murky, they are likely to be one of the first to respond to Iranian nukes with a program of their own, and they pull key levers in OPEC. Hard not to include them, too.
伊拉克戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)讓這個(gè)國(guó)家陷入分裂的深淵,影響了整個(gè)地區(qū)的穩(wěn)定,給土耳其、伊朗、俄羅斯帶來(lái)大麻煩。沙特阿拉伯支援恐怖勢(shì)力,本身繼承問(wèn)題尚存變數(shù),他們很可能是對(duì)伊朗核計(jì)劃威脅做出最快反應(yīng)并開(kāi)始自己的核計(jì)劃的國(guó)家之一。此外,他們還掌握著石油輸出國(guó)家組織的權(quán)力杠桿。