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The second one was the San Francisco Bay Area where Gavin Newsom created a beautiful policy across all the mayors.
第二個地方便是舊金山市灣區。在所有的市長當中，Gavin Newsom精心設計了一個政策方案。
He decided that he's going to take over the state,
他決定要掌管整個加利福尼亞州，
unofficially, and then officially, and then created this beautiful Region One policy.
非正式的，然后正式的，然后設置這個叫"1號地區"的政策。
In the San Francisco Bay Area not only do you have the highest concentration of Priuses,
在舊金山市灣區，你不但有最高密度的豐田雙動力車Priuses，
but you also have the perfect range extender. It's called the other car.
而且你有最完善的范圍擴大設置。這個被稱為另類的車。
As we stared scaling it up we looked at what is the problem to come up to the U.S.? Why is this a big issue?
正當我們開始擴大這個方案，我們研究了美國所面臨的問題。為什么這是一個重要的問題？
And the most fascinating thing we've learned is that,
我們所見過的最有趣的是，
when you have small problems on the individual level, like the price of gasoline to drive every morning.
當個人有些小問題時，像每天的汽油價格這種事，你并不太注意。
You don't notice it, but when the aggregate comes up you're dead. Alright?
可是當問題聚集起來，那可麻煩了。是吧？
So the price of oil, much like lots of other curves that we've seen, goes along a depletion curve.
所以油價，就像我們見過的其他曲線一樣，沿著一個耗盡曲線發展。
The foundation of this curve is that we keep losing the wells that are close to the ground.
這個曲線建立在我們逐漸失去接近地下的油井的基礎上。
And we keep getting wells that are farther away from the ground.
然后我們便不停的開發離地下越來越遠的油井。
It becomes more and more and more expensive to dig them out.
這樣的油井最后變得越來越貴去開發。
You think, well it's been up, it's been down, its been up, it's going to keep on going up and down.
你想想，油價上漲過，下調過，再上漲過，而且會一直上下變動。
Here is the problem: at 147 dollars a barrel, which we were in six months ago, the U.S. spent a ton of money to get oil.
問題在此：六個月前，原油價高立在147美元一桶，美國購買石油，花費不少。
Then we lost our economy and we went back down to 47 -- sometimes it's 40, sometimes it's 50.
然后美國經濟崩潰，原油價下調到47美元一桶。有時是40美元，有時是50美元。
Now we're running a stimulus package. It's called the trillion-dollar stimulus package.
現在我們的政府正實行一個經濟刺激計劃。一個所謂萬億美元的刺激計劃。
We're going to revive the economy. Hopefully it happens between now and 2015, somewhere in that space.
我們意圖使經濟復蘇，希望2015年之前發生，大概在這個時間段里。
What happens when the economy recovers?
那當經濟復蘇時，社會將變成什么樣？
By 2015 we would have had at least 250 million new cars even at the pace we're going at right now.
在2015年前，我們至少將有2.5億輛新車，就算我們按現有的汽車增加率計算。
That's another 30 percent demand on oil. That is another 25 million barrels a day.
那意味著原油需求將上漲百分之30。那時還要增加兩千五百萬桶的原油。
That's all the U.S. usage today. In other words at some point when we've recovered we go up to the peak.
即美國現在的原油消耗量。這就是說當我們經濟復蘇時，我們將到達原油需求的高峰點。
And then we do the OPEC stimulus package also known as 200 dollars a barrel.
然后我們來實行OPEC刺激計劃，也被稱為200美元一桶原油。
We take our money and we give it away. You know what happens at that point?
我們把我們的資金都用在原油上面。你知道到了那個程度，什么會發生嗎？
We go back down. It's going to go up and down.
我們的經濟會下調。它會一直不斷上下浮動。
And the downs are going to be much longer and the ups are going to be much shorter.
并且，下調的時間會越來越長，上升的時間會越來越短。
