We have no idea why it works, no idea at all.
我們不知道,為什么它那么高效,根本不知道。
And the moment you step back from the God complex -- let's just try to have a bunch of stuff;
當(dāng)你不再認(rèn)為自己有萬能神力——而是開始嘗試一些東西;
let's have a systematic way of determining what's working and what's not -- you can solve your problem.
用一個(gè)系統(tǒng)的辦法來決定什么辦法行什么辦法不行,你就能解決你的問題。
Now this process of trial and error is actually far more common in successful institutions than we care to recognize.
這個(gè)過程就是試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤的過程,事實(shí)上這是成功機(jī)構(gòu)的一個(gè)很大的共性,只是我們認(rèn)識得很不夠。
And we've heard a lot about how economies function.
我們聽過很多經(jīng)濟(jì)是如何運(yùn)作的言論。
The U.S. economy is still the world's greatest economy.
美國的經(jīng)濟(jì)仍然是世界上最好的經(jīng)濟(jì)體。
How did it become the world's greatest economy?
它怎么變成世界上最好的經(jīng)濟(jì)體的呢?
I could give you all kinds of facts and figures about the U.S. economy,
我可以給你很多事實(shí)和數(shù)字,關(guān)于美國經(jīng)濟(jì)的。
but I think the most salient one is this: ten percent of American businesses disappear every year.
但是我想最突出的是這點(diǎn):每年10%的美國企業(yè)會消失。
That is a huge failure rate. It's far higher than the failure rate of, say, Americans.
這是很高的失敗率。這個(gè)失敗率比美國人的失敗率要高。
Ten percent of Americans don't disappear every year.
美國人并沒有以10%的比率每年消失。
Which leads us to conclude American businesses fail faster than Americans, and therefore American businesses are evolving faster than Americans.
所以我們可以總結(jié)說,美國企業(yè)比美國人消失得更快。因此,美國企業(yè)比美國人進(jìn)化得要快。
And eventually, they'll have evolved to such a high peak of perfection that they will make us all their pets --
而最終,他們進(jìn)化到了完美的頂端,他們會把我們都變成他們的寵物——
if, of course, they haven't already done so. I sometimes wonder.
如果,他們還沒有這么做的話,我有時(shí)會想。
But it's this process of trial and error that explains this great divergence, this incredible performance of Western economies.
但是試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤的過程,解釋了這巨大的差異,西方經(jīng)濟(jì)的出色的表現(xiàn)。
It didn't come because you put some incredibly smart person in charge. It's come through trial and error.
它的發(fā)生不是因?yàn)槟阕屢恍┨貏e聰明的人掌管了一切。它是從試試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤中得來的。