評(píng)論
打印
So this is the complexity of the world that surrounds us.
所以這就是我們所處環(huán)境的復(fù)雜性。
This perhaps is why we find the God complex so tempting.
這也許正是為什么我們發(fā)現(xiàn)“萬能神力”這么有吸引力的原因。
We tend to retreat and say, "We can draw a picture, we can post some graphs, we get it, we understand how this works."
我們喜歡退一步說：“我們可以來畫一張圖，我們可以貼出圖表，我們知道這是怎么運(yùn)作的。”
And we don't. We never do. Now I'm not trying to deliver a nihilistic message here.
但是我們不知道，我們從來都不知道。我不是要在這里傳遞一個(gè)虛無主義的信息。
I'm not trying to say we can't solve complicated problems in a complicated world. We clearly can.
我不是想說我們不能在復(fù)雜的世界里解決復(fù)雜的問題。我們顯然是可以的。
But the way we solve them is with humility -- to abandon the God complex and to actually use a problem-solving technique that works.
但我們需要用一種謙遜的態(tài)度來解決問題。要拋棄“萬能神力”的態(tài)度。
And we have a problem-solving technique that works.
我們要用實(shí)際可行的問題解決方法。
Now you show me a successful complex system, and I will show you a system that has evolved through trial and error.
你給我舉一個(gè)成功的復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)，我能展示給你看，看看這個(gè)系統(tǒng)是如何在試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤中不斷演進(jìn)的。
Here's an example. This baby was produced through trial and error.
這里有一個(gè)例子。這個(gè)孩子是通過試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤產(chǎn)生的。
I realize that's an ambiguous statement. Maybe I should clarify it.
我知道這是一個(gè)模糊的說法，也許我應(yīng)該澄清。
This baby is a human body: it evolved. What is evolution?
這個(gè)孩子是人類個(gè)體，他進(jìn)化了。什么是進(jìn)化？
Over millions of years, variation and selection, variation and selection -- trial and error, trial and error.
經(jīng)歷了幾百萬年的變種和選擇，變種和選擇，試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤，試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤。
And it's not just biological systems that produce miracles through trial and error.
不只是生物系統(tǒng)，在試驗(yàn)和排除錯(cuò)誤中締造神奇。
You could use it in an industrial context.
你可以把它用于產(chǎn)業(yè)環(huán)境中。
So let's say you wanted to make detergent.
比如你要生產(chǎn)清潔劑。
Let's say you're Unilever and you want to make detergent in a factory near Liverpool.
比如你是聯(lián)合利華，你要在利物浦旁邊的一家工廠生產(chǎn)清潔劑。
