Gentlemen, Professor Graham.
格拉漢姆教授
Ben was this incredible teacher.
本是一名難以置信的老師
I mean he,he was a natural, and he drew us all in.
他一點也不做作 全身心讓我們投入
Are Wall Street professionals,they more accurate in the shorter term than the long term forecast?
華爾街專業人士的短期預測真的要比長期預測要準嗎
Well, our studies indicate that you have your choice between tossing coins and taking the consensus of expert opinions,
我們的研究顯示用擲硬幣 和聽取專家意見來進行選擇
and the results are just about the same in each case.
得到的結果是差不多的
It was like learning baseball from a fellow who's batting .400.
就像從能打出400碼那里的人學大棒球一樣
It really,it shaped my professional life.
這塑造了我的職業生涯
There are two rules of investing according to Warren,
跟著沃倫投資有兩條規則
and he learned this from Ben Graham.
他從本格拉漢姆那里學到了這個
Rule number one, never lose money.
規則一 不要賠錢
Rule number two, never forget rule number one.
規則二 不要忘記規則一
Ben Graham basically coined the term "value investing."
本格拉漢姆創造了價值投資這個概念
He believed in careful scrutiny of a company's financial statements,
他相信對公司財務報表詳細審查
and that if you bought value, it would eventually prove out.
如果你購買了價值 就會有好的結果
A few years ago, I went to Amazon,and sure enough, they had this manual there,
幾年前 我去了亞馬遜 他們那里肯定有賣這本手冊
so while reliving my youth,other guys were going to Amazon
所以當要回顧年輕時代是 其他人
and probably buying old "Playboys" or something,
可能會買以前的花花公子或是其他什么
but I bought old Moody's manuals instead,
但我會買穆迪手冊
and when I got out of school, I started selling stocks,
當我畢業時 我開始賣股票
I was 20 years old at the time,looked about 16, and acted about 12,
我當時20歲 看起來像16歲 表現得像12歲
so I was not the most impressive salesperson anybody ever met.
所以我自己并不是我所見到的最令人欽佩的交易員
But what I would do was I went through, page by page,
但我會一頁頁看
looking for possibly undervalued stocks.
尋找估值偏低的股票