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If we went with Bob's philosophy, I think we'd actually end up with a more efficient immune system.
如果我們同意鮑勃的觀點，我們實際上肯定了一種更為高效的免疫系統
And efficiency is always important in the short term.
而且效率在短期來說往往十分重要
Less complex, more efficient, more bang for the buck. Who could say no to that?
少些復雜，多些效率，更合算些。誰會拒絕這些好處呢？
Unfortunately, there's one very tiny problem, and that is that the user of this product, you or I,
不幸的是，有一個小小的問題，那就是如果你我有著這樣的免疫系統
would probably die within one week of the next winter,
那么在遭遇新型傳染病毒時
when we encountered a new strain of the influenza virus.
你我可能活不過下一個冬天的頭一周
I first became interested in biology and business, and longevity and resilience,
我第一次對生物與商業以及持久性和抗壓性感到有興趣
when I was asked a very unusual question by the CEO of a global tech company.
是在被一個全球科技公司的CEO問了一個問題時
And the question was: What do we have to do to make sure that our company lasts 100 years?
那個問題是：怎樣確保我們的公司能夠持續運作100年？
A seemingly innocent question, but actually, it's a little trickier than you might think,
看上去是一個幼稚的問題，但是問題遠沒有你想的這么簡單
considering that the average US public company now can expect a life span of only 30 years.
美國現在普通的公共公司通常只有30年的壽命
That is less than half of the life span that its employees can expect to enjoy.
這幾乎是它的員工工作壽命的一半
Now, if you were the CEO of such a company, badgered by investors and buffeted by change,
現在，如果你是這樣一個公司的CEO，被投資者糾纏不放，因變化而遭受打擊
we might forgive you for not even worrying too much about what happens 30 years out.
可以理解你不為之后30年的事操心太多
But here's something that should keep you awake at night:
但有些事可能會讓你難以入眠
the probability that your company will not be around in five year's time, on average, is now a staggering 32 percent.
你的公司在5年后倒閉的可能性平均在32%上下浮動
That's a one in three chance that your company will be taken over or will fail within just five years.
也就是有三分之一的幾率，你的公司會在5年后被轉手或是倒閉
