評論
打印
There's a number of websites
通過一些網站
What's interesting is the pool of polls which aggregate all the polls and give you a number
有趣的是民意調查總和，就是把各種調查集合起來，計算出一個新的結果
But from one poll to another, there's some pretty major difference
但不同的調查之間有一些結果是非常不同的
I think Gallup is putting Obama ahead by 10 points
例如現在蓋洛普調查顯示奧巴馬的支持率領先10%
There're a number of other polls putting him ahead by as few as 4 points
也有一些其他的調查顯示他只領先4%
And if you take the Bradley effects in the play and if that 4 point was ture and it's neck and neck
再考慮到黑人候選人的布拉德利效應，若他只領先4%則實情可能是兩黨打成平手
Well, overall though most polls are showing you the data that I've shown
大部分民意調查的結果和我給你們看的數據差不多
Actually some of them were aggregates but yeah it's a very important issue
有一些是加權好幾個調查的數據，但民意調查還是很重要的
Polls are imperfect we all know that. Yes ?
盡管我們都知道它不可能十全十美。請提問?
voting fraud? yes, ok there certainly have been a sort of allegation of voter fraud
選舉作弊？的確有針對候選人的作弊行為進行起訴的情況
There been a lot of allegation from democrats in 2000 election and it's something we might talk about
兩千年大選民主黨人曾提過多次起訴，以后我們可能會細講
When we talk about that election republicans are making allegation of voter fraud now
在我們介紹那年大選的時候會講共和黨人正在起訴有欺詐行為的投票人
In terms of registering unregistered voters and doing that in a fraudulent way.
稱他們通過將未注冊的選舉人也錄入注冊系統并進行欺詐。
Yeah, It's a issue especially if you have one of these real close elections like 2000
這種問題的確存在尤其是在2000年選情如此接近的大選中
It can be huge, I mean it can decide the differences
這種欺詐造成的差異會是決定性的
A lot of people do think that election was a one by fraudulent
很多人都認為那場大選存在欺詐
and of course the other party argues against that
當然，共和黨極力狡辯
In fact, the maps very much that's just one of the these unknowns, so take these maps with a grain of salt. Yes!
事實上，我們的地圖也有欺騙性，里面有很多未必可信的成分，我們應用懷疑的態度來看待這些地圖。請提問！
Yeah, 1960 real schrik of election, Kennedy was just barely beat Nixon
是的，1960年的大選是充滿驚慌的，肯尼迪險勝尼克松
The story was Mayor Daley sort of guarantee them enough votes from Chicago to win
據稱芝加哥市長達利曾變相承諾會幫肯尼迪拿下芝加哥
Texas had a lot of irregularities in their voting as well
那年德州的投票也有很多黑幕
The losing candidate accepted the results in 1960 and in 2000
但1960和2000年的競選者都接受了競選結果
And so it didn't become a huge issue
所以這些欺詐并沒有受到更多關注
