評論
打印
Welcome again to "The Geography of U.S. Presidential Elections"
歡迎回到美國總統大選地理學
and welcome as well to those who maybe watching and listening to this lecture in ITunes University
同時也歡迎通過Itunes U收看這門課程的同學
Today and next Monday again I'm going to be talking about the history or if you will, the geo-history of U.S. presidential campaigns and elections
今天和下周一的課程，我會講講總統大選的歷史以及大選和競選中的地史學知識
That's a lot to cover
要講的內容很多
I hope today to get up to about 1900 but bear with me if I don't, especially if you have questions which you may will have. we may get a little bit delay
我希望今天夠時間講到1900年，我要是講不完請你們諒解，考慮到你們提問的時間，所以我們可能會拖堂
In thinking over the history U.S. presidential elections. I've been thinking sort of take-home messages for today's election
縱觀歷屆總統大選，我嘗試提取出對當今大選至關重要的信息
What's sort of the connections can we see
尋找他們之間的聯系
One thing we may know is that financial panics are very often followed by a change in party or at least, they often have electoral consequences
我們看到其中一個規律是金融導致的恐慌時有發生，從而使政黨發生一些變化，有時直接影響大選結果
That certainly happened with the panic of 1837
如1837年的金融恐慌
Not quite as much as the panic of 1873, panic of 1893 definitely and of course 1929 absolutely
1873年的恐慌，令人印象深刻的1893年恐慌以及1929年的大蕭條
Another thing we may note is that U.S. presidential campaigns have often been very vigorous if you will
可以發現的另一個規律是美國的總統競選總是那么充滿活力
One way to think about this is they used to be nasty brutish and short. Now they are nasty brutish and long
過去的競選雖然不擇手段但過程短暫，如今競選不僅不擇手段而且過程漫長
we'll look at it. Well, for example, today for all the problems we have
競選過程究竟有多野蠻，舉個例子，當今的大選再怎么激烈
We don't have partisans following candidates and hackling them with infantile little rhymes as happened in 1884
都不會再出現1884年那樣的兩黨唱著童謠來諷刺對方的景象
