評(píng)論
打印
So yes pollsters are making advances but the ground are shifting under their feet
即使調(diào)查者的工具更先進(jìn)了，但他們無(wú)法左右的改變也在發(fā)生
So it's an important point to bring out. yes!
認(rèn)識(shí)這一點(diǎn)是很重要的。請(qǐng)說(shuō)!
Yeah, the comment is there are more messaging numbers in these polls
他說(shuō)現(xiàn)在民調(diào)使用的調(diào)查方式越來(lái)越多，
partly because pollsters are often finding themselves coming up with the wrong numbers
一部分是因?yàn)檎{(diào)查者常發(fā)現(xiàn)他們得到的數(shù)據(jù)不正確
And the example was made California primary were thought to be had Obama doing very well based on the internet
例如加州初選時(shí)曾有調(diào)查顯示：奧巴馬支持率很高，但調(diào)查是在網(wǎng)上進(jìn)行的
Those people with access to the internet tending to be more favorably disposed to Obama versus those who haven't it more favorably disposed to Clinton
能上網(wǎng)的人都屬于傾向于支持奧巴馬的人群，不上網(wǎng)的人則更傾向希拉里
It's the way it probably came out, so yeah! then they have to try to take that into account
這導(dǎo)致調(diào)查結(jié)果失真，沒(méi)錯(cuò)！調(diào)查者要考慮到這些誤差
How well they are doing, we'll see it at the end of the class
他們調(diào)查結(jié)果是否準(zhǔn)確，上完這節(jié)課（大選結(jié)束時(shí)）就見分曉了
That's all I can say. Yes, in the back?
我只能這么說(shuō)。后排同學(xué)，什么問(wèn)題？
So the comment is the pollsters are getting the number of voter registration cards which will assuming include cell phone numbers
他說(shuō)調(diào)查者能通過(guò)選舉注冊(cè)卡來(lái)獲得選民的電話號(hào)碼
How would you even know?
你怎么知道這個(gè)細(xì)節(jié)的?
I'm over my head here in polling information, as not something I've looked at much. thank you again!
關(guān)于調(diào)查的方法我也很混亂，我很少關(guān)注這個(gè)問(wèn)題。謝謝你的補(bǔ)充
People in the class know more than I do, so that's very helpful
班上的同學(xué)知道的比我還多，給我們很多有用的信息
I guess we're out of time but thank you so much a couple of comments
我想這節(jié)課時(shí)間差不多了，非常感謝你們，謝謝你們的討論
Again I'd like to thank ITunes University
再次，我要感謝Itunes U
If you go to website for the class. They are going to be a discussion feature. If you want to post a commentor question you can do so
如果你們上網(wǎng)找這門課，上面會(huì)有一個(gè)評(píng)論的平臺(tái)，你們可以在上面發(fā)布自己的看法或提問(wèn)
The reading assignment the most important thing
給你們布置一項(xiàng)閱讀作業(yè)
It's really the atlas of the US presidential election and we'll go through about half of that next week
回去看美國(guó)總統(tǒng)大選地圖集，下周我會(huì)講完其中一半的地圖
