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George Wallace formed, what they call the American Independent party I think and he won a number of states
華里士創(chuàng)立了一個好像是名為美國獨立黨的黨派，他也贏得了好幾個州的支持
And he did pretty well even all southern states but he did pretty well in some areas outside these south
他贏取了大部分的南方州，但在南部以外地區(qū)則戰(zhàn)績平平
And a lot of central valley California counties, he won up to 50%-20% of the vote some of these counties
在加州中央谷地區(qū)的一些縣他也獲得了20%-50%的支持率
So, yes, thank you for bringing that up
謝謝你的補充
Then he ran again he got shot and paralyzed which sort of undercut his next campaign
華里士本來想再次參選的，但他被槍擊后致殘，使他無法參加72年的大選
but he had probably swayed that election. Yes？
但他在68年的大選中也許是起了扭轉(zhuǎn)局面的作用的。請問?
Yeah, great question! the question of this seemingly entire intuitive pattern
問得好！有些選情看起來是自發(fā)無規(guī)律的
Where we have poor states, and often counties voting for the republicans
例如一些窮困的州或縣常傾向于共和黨
Who generally have a platform that is more favorable to wealthy individuals
然而共和黨的政綱其實是更有利于富人的
That's something a lot of people have written about, some of you may have read the book "what's the matter of Kansas"
不少作者都寫過這個現(xiàn)象，不知道有沒有人讀過《阿肯色怎么了》
which precisely addresses this issue
這本書詳細(xì)敘述了這種現(xiàn)象
Where in Kansas you have yes, it's a mid-income state but it's very very heavily republican voting
阿肯色作為一個收入中等的州卻非常支持共和黨
There was one time back in the late 1920s, it had a strong popular of left leaning movement
在20世紀(jì)20年代末，那里曾掀起過一場轟烈的左傾運動
But that disappeared and become real bulwork of the republican party
這場運動結(jié)束后，阿肯色就成了堅定的共和黨陣營
A book that I brought up Andrew Gelman's "red state, blue state, rich state, poor state" tries to take that on and explain it
我曾介紹過安德魯格爾曼寫的《紅色州，藍色州，富裕州，貧困州》這本書中也解釋過這個現(xiàn)象
You'll see while if you look at Kansas actually
如果你深入了解阿肯色選情
the poor people live in Kansas do vote much more to democrats than the rich people of Kansas
會發(fā)現(xiàn)阿肯色的窮人其實還是傾向民主黨的，與富人相比
But the poor in Kansas voting about 50% for the democrats and 50% for the republicans
但阿肯色的窮人約只有50%支持民主黨，50%支持共和黨
Whereas the wealthier voting 70%,80% for the republicans
富人中卻有70%80%支持共和黨
His argument in "what's the matter with Kansas" yes, it's precisely the cultural issues
在《阿肯色怎么了》一書中作者將這種現(xiàn)象歸結(jié)到文化差異上
it's abortion, it's gay rights, it's gun control, it's those issues
表現(xiàn)在墮胎，同性戀者權(quán)益，槍支控制諸如此類的事件
Gelman thinks that simplistic though
但格爾曼認(rèn)為這種看法過于簡單化
He thinks we can just as easy as we say what's the matter with Connecticut?
他認(rèn)為我們不能也這樣簡單的回答康涅狄格怎么了？
What's the matter with Colorado
科羅拉多怎么了
Why is these very wealthier areas are voting seemingly against their economic interest
為什么這些富裕的州選擇支持與其經(jīng)濟利益相悖的政黨
