評(píng)論
打印
Another some hands up? yes!
還有要舉手提問(wèn)的嗎？請(qǐng)問(wèn)！
Well, ok, the question is we saw in 1924 Robert LaFollette formed a strong third party bid
好的，他的問(wèn)題是1924年拉福萊特建立了第3個(gè)政黨與兩黨抗衡
Now there were other one we'll see this 1948, the democrats split actually in three
這種情況也出現(xiàn)在1948年，這一年民主黨實(shí)際上分為三派
the Dixiecrat split with Strom Thurmond after Harry Truman integrated the arm forces
一派是南方民主黨人，以瑟蒙德為候選人，這發(fā)生在杜魯門(mén)廢除軍隊(duì)種族隔離后
and there was Wallace who had been former vice president who run to the left of Truman
還有華里士，他是前任副總統(tǒng)，也另起爐灶與杜魯門(mén)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)
Which was why everyone thought Truman was gonna lose
因此人們都認(rèn)為杜魯門(mén)輸定了
Why the newspaper printed out headlines "Dewey wins the election". Truman won
連報(bào)紙頭條都寫(xiě)的是杜威（共和黨候選人）贏得了大選。但最終杜魯門(mén)贏了
The Dixiecrats took a number of southern states
南方民主黨人在贏取了一些南方的州
Wallace didn't play very well anywhere but there were others 1992 would be a good case
華里士則支持率普遍很低，但還有其他例子如1992年的大選
We'll see maps of that later on
我們以后會(huì)看到92年的地圖
When Ross Perot ran as sort of a maverick independent took a lot of votes from, probably from both parties
羅斯佩羅以獨(dú)立競(jìng)選人的身份參選，從兩黨支持者手中搶走不少選票
Maybe more from the republicans and that helped Bill Clinton ran
可能更多地?fù)屪吡斯埠忘h的選票，并在種程度上幫助克林頓贏得此次大選。
and there were minor ones, Ralph Nader ran the 2000 may have been the deciding factor
也有一些較沒(méi)影響力的獨(dú)立競(jìng)選人，納德在2000年的競(jìng)選中卻起了決定性作用
He didn't get that many votes
雖然他沒(méi)有得到很多支持
But in places like Florida where the margin was really thin
但在佛羅里達(dá)州這樣的選區(qū)，兩黨差距非常小的情況下
If those Nader voter would vote for Gore would have gone the other way
如果投給納德的人把票投給戈?duì)?，那獲勝的也許就不是布什了
John Anderson ran in 1980 that affected the election but there've been a number of third party candidates have really effect
約翰安德森參加1980年的大選，也對(duì)選情間接造成了影響，但也有一些真正有影響力的第三方總統(tǒng)競(jìng)選人
The only one who really have a chance of winning think was Theodore Roosevelt in 1912
我認(rèn)為唯一有實(shí)力獲勝的第三方候選人是1912年參選的西奧多羅斯福
With his Progressive party won California, won a lot of the states
他帶領(lǐng)他創(chuàng)立的進(jìn)步黨贏取了加州等多個(gè)選區(qū)
So that was a possibility
所以他是有可能獲勝的
The others I don't think who ever have possibility winning
其他第三方競(jìng)選者我認(rèn)為根本沒(méi)有勝算
and I don't know if the candidate figure that or if they want to spoil it. who knows. I mean I can't see that
不知道他們是沒(méi)有這個(gè)自知之明還是他們想在大選中搞破壞。誰(shuí)知道呢。我們都不知道他們參選的初衷
Yes, ok the question is the population density how much is that have to do with it
好的，他的問(wèn)題是人口密度對(duì)大選結(jié)果的影響
It has a lot to do with it
影響是很大的
