評論
打印
McCain is outspend Obama last I checked 7 to 1 and that may have changed
麥凱恩在該州所花選舉經費是奧巴馬的7倍，現在這個數字也許有所變化
Obama figured ,well,Minnesota I don't have to worry about that
奧巴馬認為明尼蘇達州已幾乎勝券在握
McCain says there're some concerns in Minnesota
而麥凱恩則還有點放不下
They've actually been trending a little bit more to the conservative direction
覺得他們似乎正在傾向保守的共和黨
We may be able to take that
我在這個州似乎有點勝算
So generally Obama is way outspent McCain but not in Minnesota
所以雖奧巴馬的競選總開銷遠大于麥凱恩，但在明尼蘇則相反
So yes you get the focus of money spending and campaigning in these swing states
你注意到了在搖擺州的競選開銷和拉票活動
They got a lot of electoral votes. They can go either way
這些州選票很多，所以他們想方設法爭取
Because a lot states are fairly safe
因為他們認為安全的州不必去爭
Although right now states John McCain thought would safe, a lot them appeared not so safe anymore
但有很多麥凱恩認為安全的州事實上現在已不那么安全
One thing interesting is back in the days before you have a strong primary system
我要講一個有趣的現象，在穩定的初選制度形成之前
When it was man in the smoke-filled rooms who picked the candidates
各黨是通過在密談室里商榷來確定候選人名單
They almost always picked the candidates from the swing states
他們總會選來自搖擺州的候選人
Go back and look at elections what we will
回顧以前的大選
late 1800s, early 1900s they were all from New York Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, virtually all of them
19世紀末20世紀初的大選候選人幾乎都來自紐約州、賓夕法尼亞州、俄亥俄州、印第安納州和伊利諾伊州，幾乎沒有例外
New York and Ohio again and again.both parties.
來自紐約和俄亥俄的候選人尤其多。兩黨候選人都是如此
The democratic party never pick a southerner and they know they had the south
那時民主黨從不選南方人做候選人，因為他們知道他們能穩拿南部
There is no point picking a southerner
選一個南方人起不了作用
You pick someone from New York because that was then a swing state and the republicans did the same thing
應該選一個來自紐約的，因為當時紐約是個搖擺州共和黨人也是這么做的
So it's interesting when you go into the periods when the primaries are primary
所以回顧那個初選內定的年代，情況是很有趣的
You have democrats nominating a couple of candidates from Massachusetts
民主黨人提名來自馬薩諸塞的候選人
I mean it never would happened before because the party bosses would have said poor electoral strategy
這在當時是不可能發生的，因為該黨領袖肯定會認為這完全不符合競選戰略
We don' t want a Kerry or Dukakis
我們不要克里或杜卡基斯這樣的候選人
They're not gonna play that well in state like Missouri
他們在密蘇里等州不會獲得高支持率
Let's get somebody from a swing state
選一個來自搖擺州的候選人吧
So again, if anyone has other views on this, please jump in, I'd love to hear
如果你們有其他看法，盡管提出來，我很愿意聽
