評論
打印
These counties were almost all white , relatively poor
還有一些大部分居民為白人，相對貧困的區域
A lot of them are coal mining areas where some are and some aren't but actually it didn't matter
這些縣多為產礦區，也有些區域不是，不過這都沒關系
It didn't matter if you unionize that didn't come into play
礦區工人有沒有工會化并不會有很大影響
And so, it looks for a long time like it was no way West Virginia would vote for Obama
從這幅圖來看奧巴馬要得到西弗吉尼亞的支持看似遙遙無期
But it's interesting to look at those trend lines
觀察該州的選情走向線是很有趣的
Trend lines that has recently across, Obama ahead slightly. at least, by most polls I've looked at
兩黨支持線逐漸靠近然后重合。現在奧巴馬已經略微領先。至少我所見的大部分民意調查都是如此
So pretty interesting patterns looking at the Virginia's
所以弗吉尼亞地區的選情很受關注
I just have two more maps from today
我這還有兩份今天才出爐的地圖
It's interesting from map to map
在地圖和地圖間比較很有趣
You'll see different patterns
你能看到不同的格局
So this map from today is showing West Virginia and Virginia both as weakly democratic trending
今天的這幅地圖顯示西弗吉尼亞和弗吉尼亞都略微傾向民主黨
It's showing North Dakota as strongly republican trending
北達科他州則明顯支持共和黨
but then here is the Electoralvote, another polling operation
再來看看Electoralvote發布的地圖，這是另一個民意調查機構
showing North Dakota as weakly democratic trending, with the blue outline there
這幅圖則顯示北達科他州略微傾向民主黨，是用藍色輪廓表示的
It's also showing West Virginia and both Virginia as moderately democratic trending
同時該圖也顯示西弗吉尼亞和弗吉尼亞都是略微傾向民主黨的
and it's only showing Missouri as, boy, smack dab in the middle no particular leader
而圖中的密蘇里州正中間那塊白色區域，沒有傾向任一位候選人
Those are my maps and that's my talk for today
這就是今天要給你們看的地圖。今天的課先講到這兒
We do have about 20 minutes for general discussion
我們有20分鐘討論的時間
I would like have some time in the class and we can just talk over these issues
我想在課上用一些時間一起探討一些問題
One thing I found in these classes
我發現這個課堂上
The audience knows an awful lot of them
聽課的學生知識都很淵博
and there is plenty of issues where the audience knows more than I do
在很多事情上，你們甚至了解的比我還多
So I'd like to hear from you
所以我很想聽聽你們的意見
Yes, ok the question is the fairness of the electoral college system
他的問題是選舉人團制度的公平性
Yes, indeed. ok so it's obviously based on population
眾所周知，每個州按人口多少確定票數
but if you multiply the population of North Dakota to get California, It's not three to fifty-five
但如果你按比例計算北達科他和加州的人口比，并不是3:55
We have 38,000,000people here and we have 620,000 over here
加州有三千八百萬人口，北達科他只有62萬人口
So it's the population disparity as much great than the electoral vote disparity
實際上他們在人口上的比例（1:61）比選票上的比例差距大得多
Three is the minimum, you have one member in the house, two senators, you get three electoral votes
但3票是一州選舉人數的下限，眾議員一票 ，兩個參議員一人一票，一個州至少有3票選舉人票
