評論
打印
Well, that's the way was established by the founders
這是該制度的創立者規定的
There certainly plenty of people who find it not entirely democratic
肯定有人認為這種方法無法完全體現民主
and there been a lot of arguments made to get rid of it
很多人說應該廢除這種選舉制度
One thing I should say though
但我要說的是
I'm trying to avoid opining myself getting my own opinions
正如我再怎么努力表現出客觀不被個人觀點左右
and it's impossible to be totally neutral
我還是無法做到完全中立
right, I know no one can do it but that's sort of my goal
我想沒人能做到，但我的出發點是想做到客觀的
So I guess I'm reluctant to say
所以我不愿意評論
If I think it's a good idea or a bad idea
這種制度到底是否公平合理
If you want to talk in public. I'll tell you what I think
但我可以告訴你一些公眾的觀點
but I don't wanna come down on one side or another
我不想傾向任何一邊
I wanna talk about how republicans see it and how democrats see it and try to be neutral
我可以從共和黨人和民主黨人的角度告訴你他們的看法，我會盡量客觀地去分析
but you certainly all right there very strong argument against this
但我知道在座的各位心里其實都是有自己的想法的
and it favors states that vote republican in general
這套體系總體上是對共和黨有利的
now we have Vermont, we have Delaware, they have three
佛蒙特州，德拉華州都是3票
District Columbia has three
哥倫比亞特區也是3票
So there are some eastern democratic voting areas
盡管這都是東部的民主黨支持區
They get a little bit of favor
對民主黨有些好處
but we have while Hawaii here at four
但夏威夷有四票
but it's overall it does help the republicans
這套體制總體上是對共和黨有利的
there's no doubt about that. yes？
這毋庸置疑。請提問！
Yeah, so the question is the conventional wisdom is if you win a few swing states
他提到了一個人們普遍的想法，如果候選人在一些搖擺州獲勝
Pennsylvania 21 electoral, votes Ohio 20, Florida 27
如賓夕法尼亞州，有21票，俄亥俄 20票，佛羅里達 27票
These are states with a lot of electoral votes very rich,
這些州的選舉票數都很多也較為富裕
and they tend to be right on that sort of the razors edge and that then becomes the key
他們的傾向常搖擺不定，因此他們被認為是獲勝的關鍵
it's been a long time since any candidates have tried to campaign in 50 states
已經很久沒有總統競選人在50個州都舉行拉票活動了
Richard Nixon tried it in 1960 and it didn't help him at all
1960年尼克松嘗試過，但那對他毫無幫助
and so really the conventional wisdom is don't try to do this
所以人們普遍認為競選時不應大范圍撒網
Figure the states you would get, if you got real great chance of winning, you can sort of ignored
思考你可能奪下的州有哪些，如果你在該州獲勝幾率很大，你就無需再大費周折地拉票
Interesting Minnesota，here this has been the most democratic voting state
有趣的是，明尼蘇達州它一直堅定支持民主黨
for the last half century and it shows somewhat weak for Obama
已長達半個世紀，但奧巴馬在該州支持率并不高
