評論
打印
I was gonna save it for a little bit later in the class but I can certainly talk about it now
我想把這個內容留到以后的課程說，但我現在可以大概講講
Some scholars have said that is actually more important than religion and determining who votes where
有些學者說人口密度甚至比宗教因素更重要更具決定性
So we can see a population density map here
我們來看一幅人口密度地圖
We can see the national pattern here
我們能看的全國的人口密度分布
There are some exceptions . There are sparsely populated highly hispanic counties
有一些比較例外的情況，一些人口稀疏的地區是西葡裔聚居地
In northern New Mexico voted heavily for the democrats
在新墨西哥北部有很多民主黨支持者
There are some sparsely populated black counties here some sparsely populated American-Indian counties
多為人口稀疏的黑人聚居的縣及人口稀疏的印第安人聚居縣
But other than that yeah, it's face pretty closely
除此之外其他地區密度都較為均勻
and I even have some states comparisons to show you
給你們看一些州的具體對比情況
It's imperfect but here's Ohio
地圖不太清晰，上面的是俄亥俄州
and you can see these densely populated areas
你看到這些人口尤為稠密的地區
check a map, yeah, here's Columbus
看看地圖，這是哥倫布市（中部紅塊）
here's Dayton Cincinnati an exception
還有達頓市（左二紅塊）以及辛辛那提（最左） 但情況例外
Cincinnati is one of the largest metro areas where the county tends to vote republican
辛辛那提在共和黨的支持者中是規模最大的都市區域之一
We'll see what happened this time
不知道這次大選它會傾向哪方
Washington somewhat good correlation with great Seattle area
在華盛頓州，人口密集的西雅圖極具決定性
Spokane doesn't show up
圖中沒有顯示斯波坎城
So it works much better in New York, works very well in New York, doesn't work as well in Arkansas
人口密度的不同在紐約州表現的很明顯，高密度都市區非常明顯，但在阿肯色則較為均勻
and Arkansas partly because of race plays a important factor
影響阿肯色選情的一個重要因素是種族
A lot of rural African-American tending to vote republican and live in some of the sparse counties
很多農村地區的非洲裔居民傾向共和黨，他們多居住在人口稀少的縣里
Later on I'm going to counties I really like. I really like exceptions
以后會給你們講一些我感興趣的縣。我喜歡與眾不同的
some of these counties up here are poor, rural mostly white, heavily southern baptist
這些縣多為鄉村，貧困居民多為白人，虔誠的浸禮教徒
and continue to vote democratic presidential candidates
他們始終如一地支持民主黨候選人
There's some little clusters, Tennessee has these little clusters
全國有不少這樣的聚居地，例如田納西就有一些
I found that very interesting counties that I can't explain
我對這些縣很感興趣，他們的情況沒法用幾句話來解釋
but you're absolutely right! yes, population density a really crucial factor
但這位同學說的很對！人口密度是大選中的很關鍵的因素
and there's a bunch of hands try to go I'll go in order of people have raised their hands yes oh! George Wallace
有很多人舉手繼續讓你們提問，請問！喬治華里士
I've forgotten that third party candidates 1968, Richard Nixon running against Hubert Humphrey
我忘記講他了，1968年作為第三方候選人參選，加入尼克松和漢弗萊的總統角逐
