評論
打印
We'll end the class with this election, the election of 2008
講完這次選舉就下課了，那就是今年 08年的大選
and I'm really hoping we can get good county level maps
我想要反應縣級選情的地圖
really give a fine scale on analysis to that
從而我們可以作更細致的分析
by that time we'll be used to looking at different counties
以后我們會習慣于觀察不同的縣
In the county patterns and of course we'll be looking at the states patterns as well
觀察他們的選情和投票傾向，當然我們也會繼續觀察州的情況
This is from a few days ago
這是幾天前的一幅地圖
It's interesting why Nebraska and Maine have little squares in them. Does anybody know?
奇怪的是，內布拉斯加州和緬因州內部有一些小正方形。有人知道為什么嗎？
They are the only states that split their electoral votes
因為全國只有這2個州拆分了他們的選舉人票
There are five electoral votes from Nebraska
內布拉斯加州共有5個選舉人票
Two sort of associate with senators whoever wins Nebraska wins those two votes
其中兩票和參議員有關，在該州當選的兩名參議員擁有這兩票
and the other three have to do with congressional districts whoever wins the congressional districts wins those
另外三票分給眾議員選舉區，當選該區眾議員者擁有此票
So you can see the far eastern part in Nebraska possibility of Obama electoral vote pick-up there
可見內布拉斯加最東部的選區最有可能轉為支持奧巴馬
How does this maps compare to the ones we were looking up in 2000,2004
與我們一直在研究的00 04年地圖相比
We'll see same patterns but with something interesting differences
我們在這幅地圖上看到了相似的格局，但也有不同之處
We still see the same strongly republican zone in the southeast
東南部地區仍強烈支持共和黨
in the plain states all but not North Dakota and Montana Remember there? a little different
在大平原地區的州幾乎沒變，除了北達科他州和蒙大拿州發生了一點小變化
like I say, there is as today they are supposed showing North Dakota split 50-50 right now
我說過現在在北達科他州兩黨幾乎打成平手
Very interesting, it's been a long time. again I think it's 1964
很有意思，已經很久沒出現這樣的局面了。我想上次是1964年
So last time North Dakota voted for democratic presidencial candidate
是北達科他最近一次投票給民主黨候選人
At the state level, not at the presidential level that will be interesting to see
他們已很久沒在大選中支持民主黨，所以現在的狀況很值得注意
New Mexico pretty clearly in the democratic camp, Colorado trending that way
新墨西哥很明顯傾向民主黨陣營，科羅拉多州也是
Nevada looks like it maybe trending that way as well
連內華達也看似有這個傾向
The biggest changing has to do with the far east. here is Virginia
最大的變化在于最東部的選情。弗吉尼亞州
which has been, like I say one of the most consistently republican voting states for a long time
我說過是最堅定不移支持共和黨的州之一
Now it's trending pretty clearly both especially for the senatorial election but also for the presidential election
現在明顯傾向民主黨無論是在參議員選舉上還是在總統大選上
Virginia's changed especially the growth suburbs of Washington D.C
弗吉尼亞正在改變，尤其隨著華盛頓D.C的城郊的發展
Big population concentration now
該地區聚集了大量人口
In electoral terms that areas is part of mid-Atlantic now, It's not part of the south
從選區的角度而言，弗吉尼亞現在屬于大西洋中部地區已不再屬于南部
