意大利的奇怪新組合
ITALY HAS HAD 65 governments over the past 73 years.
建國73年以來,意大利已經換了65屆政府。
Even at that torrid pace,
即便換屆比翻書還快,
the country has never had a coalition quite like the one currently negotiating to take power together.
現在正協商聯合執政的那種聯盟還是頭一次出現。
On one end sits the Five Star Movement (5SM), a protest group turned political force.
該聯盟一邊是由抗議團體轉變為政治力量的五星運動黨(5SM)。
On the other sits Lega, a hard-right party that has made anti-immigration its calling card.
另一邊是打著反移民口號的極右翼政黨北方聯盟黨(Lega)。
It's an unlikely pairing at first glance.
乍一看,二者似乎全無結盟的可能性。
Launched in the wake of the euro zone's economic crisis in 2009,
因為成立于2009年歐元區經濟危機之后的五星運動黨
5SM courted the young and disenfranchised with overt anti-Europe policies and rhetoric—
利用公然反歐的政策和言論拉攏年輕人和失去了公民權的人群——
much of which it has dropped as it has moved into the mainstream.
但隨著該黨逐漸走入主流,他們很大程度上已經拋棄了這一立場。
But it never lost its anti-elitist, anti-austerity core.
不過,該黨反精英、反緊縮的內核從未缺席。
It was rewarded in the March elections with the most seats of any party in Parliament.
也正是這一內核讓該黨在3月份的選舉中獲得了議會所有黨派中為數最多的席位。
Lega was the surprise of the season, coming in second—
北方聯盟黨則是本賽季的黑馬擔當,席位僅次于五星運動黨,
though it also did not receive enough votes to form a government on its own.
盡管它也沒有獲得獨立組建政府所需的選票數目。
Like 5SM, the prospect of electoral victory made Lega more inclusive, but only toward Italians.
和五星運動黨一樣,選舉勝利的前景讓北方聯盟黨也變得更具包容性了,但僅限于對意大利人的包容性。
Lega's pledge to expel 600,000 undocumented immigrants resonated, as did its general "Italy first" orientation.
該黨許下的,將60萬非法移民驅逐出境的承諾,如同該黨此前提出的“意大利第一”的總體定位一樣,再次引起了意大利民眾的共鳴。

Both groups swore to help Italy's downtrodden, albeit in different ways.
盡管各自的方式有所不同,兩黨都許下了幫助受壓迫的那部分意大利人的承諾。
Lega's headline campaign promise was a flat 15% tax,
北方聯盟黨的競選口號是推行15%的單一個稅,
which it argues will provide a much-needed boost to the working class and small businesses.
該黨聲稱,這一稅率能給工人階級和小企業帶來他們亟需的提振。
5SM's flagship pledge was a scheme guaranteeing a basic income for everyone.
五星運動黨主要的承諾則是一項保證所有人都有基本收入的計劃。
5SM regards Lega's proposal as a tax break for the rich; Lega sees 5SM's pledge as a handout.
五星運動黨認為北方聯盟黨的提議無異于在給富人減稅;北方聯盟黨則認為五星運動黨的承諾不過是種施舍。
Both proposals (and any eventual compromise) would explode Italy's already precarious public finances.
兩黨的提議(以及最終的任何妥協)都將讓意大利本已岌岌可危的公共財政更為雪上加霜。
Fortunately for them, they agree on who the real enemy is: Brussels.
幸運的是,他們在布魯塞爾才是意大利真正的敵人這一問題上達成了共識。
Both frame European bureaucracy, fiscal rules and the euro as the enemies of any Italian economic recovery.
因為他們都認為歐洲的官僚主義、財政規則和歐元才是意大利經濟復蘇的敵人。
That may be enough for the two to come together and form a successful government.
這點或許就足以推動兩黨走到一起,攜手組建一個成功的政府了。
But neither has much executive experience,
但雙方都沒有多少管理經驗,
and while they may be able to paper over policy differences for now,
而且,雙方都從未有就其相對極端的立場做出長期妥協的經歷,
neither group has ever needed to compromise its relatively extreme positions for any extended period.
盡管他們目前還能掩蓋住彼此的政策分歧。
No one does political drama quite like the Italians.
意大利人唱起政治戲來,路數就是跟誰都不一樣。
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