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With 400,000 people dead, the conflict in Syria is no longer just about the future of Assad, the Syrian people or even ISIS, which has now lost most of its territory.
死亡人數高達40萬，敘利亞的沖突已經不單單是關乎阿薩德，敘利亞人民乃至伊斯蘭國——該國現在已經失去了大部分領土——未來的一場戰(zhàn)爭了。
Instead, it’s a series of battles for geopolitical dominance.
而是爭奪地緣政治優(yōu)勢的一場連環(huán)戰(zhàn)爭。
The key player is Iran, which has extended its influence and reach inside Syria.
其中的關鍵角色是已經將自己的勢力范圍擴大到了敘利亞境內的伊朗。
Analysts say it now effectively holds the levers of power.
分析人士表示，伊朗已經充分占據了這場戰(zhàn)爭的優(yōu)勢。
“In the beginning, Iran entered Syria to support the regime of Bashar Assad,
“一開始，伊朗進入敘利亞是為了支持巴沙爾·阿薩德政權，
but Assad has ended up becoming a client of Iran,”
但阿薩德最終成了伊朗的客戶，”
says Lina Khatib, head of the Middle East and North Africa Programme at Chatham House.
英國皇家國際事務研究所中東和北非項目負責人Lina Khatib表示。
“The Syrian regime has become almost hostage to Iran’s interests.”
“敘利亞政權幾乎已經成了伊朗的傀儡。”
That is too much for Israel, which sees a creeping Iranian military presence on its border.
這對以色列來說實在是難以接受，因為以色列發(fā)現伊朗的軍事力量已經蔓延到了自己的邊境線上。
It launched a series of cross-border assaults in Syria on Feb. 10 in an overt show of force.
它于2月10日對敘利亞展開了一系列跨界襲擊，公開武力示威。
Israel has carried out occasional strikes on Syrian territory since 2011,
自2011年以來，以色列就不時打擊敘利亞領土，
but both sides have shied away from raising the stakes.
但雙方都避免了加注。
This time, things played out differently.
這一次，情況有點不同。
Syria’s antiaircraft system hit an Israeli F-16 as it returned from a raid,
敘利亞防空系統(tǒng)擊落了一架返航的以色列F-16戰(zhàn)機，
sending a message: Israel will no longer have free rein of Syrian airspace.
以此釋放信號：以色列不再擁有出入敘利亞領空的自由。
Others in Syria are pursuing their own agendas.
敘利亞境內的其他人也在 加緊自己的計劃。
Turkey is battling the Kurdish YPG militia, which it sees as an existential threat.
土耳其正在對付庫爾德YPG民兵組織，認為后者對其是一種存在性威脅。
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who once called for Assad’s ouster, now seems resigned to his staying.
曾經呼吁阿薩德下臺的土耳其總統(tǒng)雷杰普·塔伊普·埃爾多安現在似乎已經辭職了。
“[Turkey] has only one priority left in Syria, to fight the YPG,”
“[土耳其]在敘利亞只剩下唯一一件要緊事了，那就是對抗YPG，”
says Soner Cagaptay, director of the Turkish Research Program at the Washington Institute.
華盛頓研究所土耳其研究小組主任Soner Cagaptay說。
