評論
打印
and some interesting ones is
其中一個有趣的發(fā)現(xiàn)就是
one thing is states really seem to matter on this map
選情是以州為單位發(fā)生變化的
if you look back in...
如果你回顧
if you go back a few generations and look at county level data you finding states often matter a lot, especially in the south
過去的幾屆選舉 并且觀察縣級的選情數(shù)據(jù) 就會發(fā)現(xiàn)州作為一個整體的影響力 尤其是在南方
a lot of these earlier elections you can just see a sharp line
在過去的大選中 你會發(fā)現(xiàn)選情隨著州界而變化
where all the counties in South Carolina voted a certain way and you cross the border into North Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee in there it was different
例如所有南卡的縣都傾向某個陣營 而跨過州界 到了北卡 喬治亞和田納西 他們則傾向另一個陣營
and that is really decayed, not as much of state level discipline from parties to get out the vote
但這種影響逐漸消失 各州對各黨的支持變得不像過去那么絕對
but here you can see, you can see Indiana standing out virtually every county here having undergone this blue shift
但這里的圖中你看到印第安納的形狀非常明顯 幾乎那里的每個縣都一致地向民主黨轉(zhuǎn)移
you can see Arkansas
還有阿肯色州
almost every county undergoing a red shift
幾乎每個縣都出現(xiàn)了偏向紅色的情況
some of them may be attributable to people from Arkansas being upset that Hilary Clinton didn't get the nomination
有些人認為阿肯色之所以這樣 是因為他們對希拉里克林頓沒有獲得提名而感到沮喪
I think that was part of it
這的確是原因之一
but there are other things going on as well
但我認為還有其他原因
you can even see most counties in Tennessee
你看到田納西大部分縣也是棕色
you can compare Montana to Wyoming
對比蒙大拿和懷俄明的變化
Wyoming had a blue shift but not much
懷俄明有轉(zhuǎn)藍的趨勢 但很輕微
Idaho had one again not much
愛達荷也是一樣
but Montana had a very substantial movement
而蒙大拿州的變化卻非常明顯
some of that probably reflects the political leaders in Montana
這在變化也許是由于蒙大拿州的政治領(lǐng)袖
Senator Max Baucus for example a Democrat, Stanford grads, Stanford Law School grad as well, supporting Obama
如參議員麥克斯鮑卡斯是民主黨人 斯坦福校友 斯坦福法律學院的畢業(yè)生 對奧巴馬的大力支持
he is extremely popular in Montana
他在蒙大拿州很得人心
he won every county in Montana
他參選時獲得了每一個縣的支持
so that might be one reason for that
這可能是蒙大拿更傾向藍色的原因之一
