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I think I read somewhere
我好像在哪里讀到過
it said Arkansas would be the only state that went more Republican this time than before
有人說阿肯色是本屆大選中 唯一一個共和黨支持率比上屆更高的州
Arkansas definitely did, Louisiana a little bit, Oklahoma a tiny bit
阿肯色的確如此 路易斯安那州也有小幅增長 俄克拉荷馬也是
and I think Tennessee pretty much the same
田納西州可能與上屆基本持平
I have a graph that will show you that
我有一幅圖展示了這些變化
yes the comment was Arkansas having a shift having undergone a red shift if you will
他剛才說阿肯色正在變化 變得更為泛紅
whereas most of the country undergoing a pretty substantial blue shift
而大部分其他地區都大幅度地向民主黨陣營靠攏
you can see overall just comparing the color patterns from 2004 to 2008
你看一看的 總體而言 04年和08年的選情顏色分布
pretty similar patterns overall but just bluer this time
是非常相似的 只是08年的藍色面積更大
some other maps we have will tease this out better
一些其他的地圖會更好地說明各州的轉變
well yes here is from the Wikipedia I don't know if you can read this
這是一幅摘自維基百科的圖 不知道你們看不看得清楚
but it is showing states from the most Republican voting Wyoming to the most Democratic voting in this election Hawaii
圖中展示了從本屆大選中最傾向共和黨懷俄明州 到最支持民主黨的夏威夷州
and then it shows you the change from 2004 to 2008
以及它們之間的州從04到08年的變化
and it's interesting
這是幅很有趣的圖
here's Utah which is the 3rd most Republican voting
猶他仍是共和黨支持率第三高的州
but look at the shift it made that had been actually by a pretty substantial margin from the most Republican voting
但看看它的支持率 其實正在大幅度地向藍色轉變 上屆它是共和黨支持率最高的州
whereas you can see Oklahoma no real change at all
俄克拉荷馬州的支持率則幾乎沒變
actually a slight movement in the Republican direction
其實它輕微地向共和黨方向移動了
here's Arkansas with a pretty substantial movement to Republican direction
我們看到在阿肯色明顯對共和黨支持率大增
Louisiana as well
路易斯安娜也是
states that really surprised a lot of people
有些州的選情出乎很多人的意料
Indiana for example that was the one state where 5 38 got wrong
例如印第安納州 5 38對它估計錯誤
put in the Republican camp in the polling data and actually went for Barack Obama
根據民調預測它應該傾向共和黨 而最終它支持的卻是奧巴馬
you can see North Dakota still Republican but a major major shift
北達科他州雖然讓傾向共和黨 但支持率大大下滑
Nebraska as well
內布拉斯加州也出現類似情況
even Texas with a big shift as well
就連德州也有向藍營靠攏的傾向
some of the Democratic voting states didn't shift much at all
而傳統的民主黨支持州則沒有出現太多變化
Massachusetts barely at all pretty much the same
馬薩諸塞州的支持率幾乎維持原樣
whereas Vermont a pretty big gain
而佛蒙特州則更為傾向民主黨
California pretty big gain as well
加州也呈現出更高的支持率
so in interesting way to see that if you want to check it out you can just go to Wikipedia to find that one
從這個角度考察選情是很有趣的 如果你想仔細研究 你可以去維基百科搜一下
here's my favorite map though
這是我最喜歡的地圖
from the New York Times
摘自《紐約時報》
you can find this in a lot of websites
很多網站都引用了這幅地圖
so what you're doing is showing the shift in county voting from 2004 to 2008
它顯示出了04年大選到08年大選各縣發生的轉變
and if there mapped blue here that just means there's been a substantial movement
如果圖中區域顯示藍色則說明該地奧巴馬所獲支持率
from what John Kerry had been getting to what Barack Obama got
與04年克里的支持率相比有大幅度提高
so they can be a very Republican voting county but if it moved in that Democratic direction it's mapped here as blue
所以即使是一個傾向共和黨的縣 只要它本屆的民主黨支持率有所提升 就會被描成藍色
whereas if it moved in the Republican direction it's mapped in brown
同理如果共和黨支持率有所提升 則被畫成棕色
we can spend a lot of time finding patterns on this map
我們可以認真研究這幅地圖傳達的信息
