評論
打印
So we do use a SMART surveillance which is really a targeted, a adaptive surveillance
我們采用的是SMART監控，這是一種針對性和適應性很強的監控
And we started out with modeling looking at what do we know from the past
從建模開始觀察過去的情況
what do we know about disease events that happened before
看關于原來的疾病事件，我們了解什么
what do we know about mammal diversity and human population density that can predict where are the most likely areas for diseases to emerge
看哺乳動物多樣性和人類人口密度，以此預測最可能發生疾病的地區
So that's how we've targeted the countries we work in and the interfaces that are there
這就是標的國家及接觸點的選擇理由
We now go out and we do the fieldwork
之后到當地進行實地工作
That's where our teams are currently working, in these 21 countries
這也就是我們團隊正在工作的21個國家
Based on what we find in the field, we can then do the laboratory diagnostics and developing new assays as well
根據實地考察結果，可以進行實驗室診斷并開發出新模型
To try and say, okay, based on what we've found, we need to adapt
然后根據發現成果重新適應
we need to change our interface that we're looking at or based on a new pathogen that's detected
或許需要改變接觸點位置，這要根據新病原體發現情況
So it can be a feedback and a complete loop, so that we can hopefully change as the world changes around us
這能夠形成反饋和循環，讓我們隨時能和世界的改變同步
And really it comes back to the importance of early detection, right?
這種早期檢測非常重要，對嗎？
The earlier that we can find a new pathogen the easier it is to prevent the spread
新病原體發現越早，預防其傳播就會越容易
that then can become an exponential problem around the world
越容易避免造成全球高速傳播的災難
So if you look at the current timeline
看一下時間軸
I wonder what slides these are
這到底是什么幻燈片
You're looking at what would normally take maybe 24 days, until you could get the detection and response to the outbreak of events
一般的方法是取24天，直到檢測到事件暴發并作出反應
But our goal really is just screwed it up
而我們要加速進行
If we know more about what's going on in the pathogen populations before an outbreak even occurs
我們希望在事件暴發前了解更多病原體的情況
then we can respond to that much quicker
并更快作出反應
And you can see the difference here really is that you prevent over a larger part
從這里，可以明顯看到差別預防的概率面會更大
The yellow part here shows what might be prevented, if you can move the timeline up for actual response to a new outbreak
也就是黃色這部分，應對事件暴發的時間往前提了
