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A round of harsh recriminations seems certain for the Democrats, who had assumed that their coalition of minorities, college-educated white people and young voters was destined only to grow as a share of the electorate, while the post-Trump GOP would be doomed to rely on a dwindling population of older, white, non-college-educated voters. Instead, Republicans appeared to have increased their share of the Black and Latino vote. Democrats failed to topple any GOP incumbents in Texas and lost a congressional seat in New Mexico. Their hopes for a surge of college-educated suburban voters also fell short, suggesting that the GOP's attacks on liberal ideology proved effective in places like Oklahoma City and Cedar Rapids, Iowa. "Democrats need to ask themselves why someone like Joe Biden is an endangered species in the party," says Justin Gest, a political scientist at George Mason University and author of The New Minority: White Working Class Politics in an Age of Immigration and Inequality. "Why is the party of experts, urban intellectuals and woke social-movement activists not producing candidates who can mobilize people in Montana, Ohio, North Carolina? It just doesn't look like a national party." Republicans, even if they lose the presidency, are likely to feel emboldened to continue pursuing Trump's themes. "Donald Trump isn't going away," says Buck, the former Ryan adviser. "He's still going to be the leader of the party and the biggest voice, and he'll at least flirt with the idea of running again. It's going to continue to be a populist, grievance-fueled party."
一輪對民主黨的嚴厲指責是少不了的。民主黨人認為他們的少數民族聯盟、受過大學教育的白人以及年輕選民只會增加選民的份額。而后特朗普時期的共和黨則注定依賴日益減少的老年和非大學學歷的白人選民。相反，共和黨人似乎增加了他們在黑人和拉丁裔選民中的比例。民主黨沒能在德州扳倒共和黨，還失去了新墨西哥州的一個國會席位。他們對受過大學教育的郊區選民激增的希望也落空了，這表明共和黨對自由主義意識形態的攻擊在俄克拉荷馬城和愛荷華州的錫達拉皮茲等地被證明是有效的。喬治·梅森大學的政治學家、《新少數民族：移民和不平等時代的白人工人階級政治》的作者賈斯汀·吉斯說：“民主黨人需要問問自己，為什么像喬·拜登這樣的人在黨內是瀕危物種？為什么這個由專家、城市知識分子和覺醒的社會運動活動家組成的政黨，沒有推出一個能夠動員蒙大拿州、俄亥俄州和北卡羅來納州人民的候選人？它就不像是一個全國性政黨。”共和黨人即使失去總統寶座，也可能有膽量繼續跟從特朗普的主題。前瑞安顧問巴克表示：“唐納德·特朗普不會離開，他將仍是共和黨的領袖和最強發聲人。他至少會有再次參選的念頭，共和黨將會一直是一個民粹主義的、充滿不滿的政黨。”
Some elections mark a breakthrough—the emergence of a new American majority after years of conflict and gridlock. A landslide like Franklin D. Roosevelt's in 1932 or Ronald Reagan's in 1980 would have signaled a nation ready to move on from its cultural and ideological cleavages and seek some way forward together. Instead it looks more bitterly split than ever. "There was a substantial political divide in this country before Donald Trump was elected," Ridge says. "His presidency has exacerbated that divide to an almost unimaginable degree. But that did not begin with Donald Trump, and it will not end with him, either."
某些選舉標志著一項突破——經過多年的沖突和僵局，美國出現了一個新的多數黨。1932年富蘭克林·D·羅斯福和1980年羅納德·里根取得的壓倒性勝利標志著這個國家準備擺脫其文化和意識形態的分裂，尋求共同前進的道路。然而相反，現在的美國似乎比以往任何時候都更加分裂。里奇說：“在唐納德·特朗普當選之前，這個國家存在著巨大的政治分歧，而他的總統任期把這種分歧加劇到了幾乎無法想象的程度。這種分歧并不始于唐納德·特朗普，也不會跟隨他結束。”
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