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Andrés Manuel López Obrador
安德烈斯·曼努埃爾·洛佩斯·奧夫拉多爾
Mexico's answer to Donald Trump
墨西哥對唐納德·特朗普的回應
There are many reasons to worry about Mexico's most likely next president
對于墨西哥最有可能當選下屆總統的候選人，有許多值得擔心的理由。
These days Mexicans agree on two things.
近期，墨西哥人在兩件事上達成了一致。
Their football team's victory over Germanyon June 17th was magnificent.
第一件事是6月17日足球賽，墨西哥隊大勝德國隊對于墨西哥來說意義非凡。
And the elections on July 1st will be the most important in decades.
第二件事是7月1日的總統大選將是幾十年里最重要的一次選舉。
The front-runner for the presidency, Andrés Manuel López Obrador,
總統大選領跑者安德烈斯·曼努埃爾·洛佩斯·奧夫拉多爾，
leads a coalition called "Juntos haremos historia" ("Together we will make history").
領導著一個名為“Juntos haremos histora”(“我們將共同創造歷史”)的聯盟。
His opponents fear that he will achieve just that, in a bad way.
其反對者擔心他會以一種不好的方式實現這個目標。
Mr López Obrador, who has run for the presidency twice before, has a folksy air of incorruptibility that enchants many Mexicans.
洛佩斯·奧夫拉多爾曾兩次競選總統，許多墨西哥人拜服于他平易近人、剛正廉潔的風采。
He promises a "radical revolution".
他承諾會發起一場“激進的革命”。
Some hear that as a threat.
有人將此視作威脅。
Mr López Obrador has at times opposed the measures earlier governments have taken to modernise the economy.
洛佩斯·奧夫拉多爾曾數次反對上屆政府采取的經濟現代化措施。
His critics liken him to Hugo Chávez, whose "Bolivarian revolution" has brought ruin to Venezuela.
他的批評者將他比作烏戈·查韋斯，烏戈·查韋斯的玻利瓦爾革命給委內瑞拉帶來了毀滅。
The nationalist populism he offers is unlike anything Mexico has seen since the early 1980s.
但奧夫拉多爾提出的民族和民粹主義，墨西哥人自20世紀80年代早期起就聞所未聞。
And if the polls are right, he will win.
而如果民調正確，他將會當選。
With that, Latin America's second-biggest country will join a clutch of democracies where electorates have rebelled against the established order.
隨之而來的是，拉丁美洲第二大國將加入民主國家團體，在這些國家中，選民背叛了既有的秩序。
What is about to happen in Mexico feels akin to the election of Donald Trump in America, Britain's vote to leave the European Union and Italy'sturn towards populism.
墨西哥將要發生的事，似乎會類似于特朗普在美國的選舉、英國的脫歐投票和意大利向民粹主義的轉向。
It may be repeated in Brazil, where the front-runner to win the presidency in October is Jair Bolsonaro,
同樣的情形或會在巴西重現，巴西將在十月舉行總統競選，
who speaks viciously about gay people but warmly of military rule.
目前的領跑者雅伊爾·博爾索納羅對同性戀惡言相向，但對軍事統治卻飽含熱情。
The causes of popular anger vary.
引起民憤的原因各不相同。
In Latin America, as elsewhere, voters are furious at elites they regard as corrupt, ineffectual and condescending.
在拉丁美洲，同其他地區一樣，投票者認為精英為貪污腐敗、低效無能、自視高人一等，對此滿懷怒火。
Just as American populists decry the "swamp" in Washington and Brazilians are aghast at the filth of their political class,
美國的民粹主義者抨擊美國政府是“泥潭”，巴西人驚駭于政治階層的污穢不堪，
Mr López Obrador fulminates against the "mafia of power" that he claims controls Mexico.
與此相似，洛佩斯·奧夫拉多爾強烈譴責“黑手黨勢力”，他聲稱“黑手黨勢力”要控制墨西哥。
譯文由可可原創，僅供學習交流使用，未經許可請勿轉載。
