in 2000
在2000年
I think particularly in 2000
尤其是在2000年
you saw the elderly votes shifting a bit in the Democratic direction
你發現老年選民的選票有一點偏向民主黨的方向
and many people attributed that to the concern over social security
很多人將這種現象歸因于老人們對社會安全的考慮
as far as minority's level the African American voting population with substantially Republican after the Civil War
至于少數人種選民的傾向 黑人在南北戰爭之后 一直大比例地支持共和黨
of course in the south Blacks lost their right to vote
當然了 在南部 黑人被剝奪了投票權
but they remained
但他們仍然堅持
Blacks in the north remained Republican voting
北部有投票權的黑人仍支持共和黨
really until the New Deal really changed that
直到羅斯福新政的實施 改變了這種局面
as Franklin Roosevelt came up with policies
羅斯福在新政時期實施了很多政策
what not at all geared towards African Americans
雖然這些政策并非為了黑人的利益而制定
but they did benefit from those New Deal policies
但他們的確從新政政策中受益了
and then massive shift in African American voting to the Democrats with the Voting Rights Act of 1964
此后黑人對民主黨人的支持在1964年選舉權法案頒布后 再次大幅度攀升
and it's been that way ever since
從此奠定黑人傾向民主黨人的格局
but then getting the African American candidate bumped up from 80% to 95% or whatever it was
對于黑人候選人支持率甚至會從80%左右飆升到95% 大概就是這樣
Hispanic vote is very interesting
葡西裔的投票情況也很有意思
because Republican strategists were really looking at the Hispanic vote
共和黨的戰略家認為 他們應把注意力放在葡西裔的選票上
George Bush's first election 2000 heavily calling Hispanic voters
喬治布什2000年的第一次競選中 對葡西選民尤為重視
and did much better than they had before
在葡西選民中 獲得了比以前更理想的支持率
now support for the Republicans among the Hispanic populations has dropped down to about 1/3
但現在葡西裔對共和黨人的支持 比當時已下降了約1/3
couple of things going on here
這其中有好幾個原因
one is probably well south Florida is unique
第一個是佛州南部的歷史特殊性
you have the Cuban population which had been so heavily Republican voting
那里居住著很多古巴裔居民 他們過去極為支持共和黨
but the children and grandchildren of the Cuban refugees are not nearly as ready to the Republican Party
但這些古巴難民的兒女或子孫一帶 則不如他們那么傾向共和黨
I believe the young Cuban Americans voted for Obama
我想應該很多年輕的古巴裔這次都支持奧巴馬
I have to check that
我要查證一下是不是這樣
elsewhere though lots of concerns about Nativism in the Republican Party
而在其他地區 葡西裔可能會對共和黨的排外主義感到擔憂
many elements of the Republican Party pushing for much stricter immigration loss
共和黨的很多表現使得他們丟失了移民群體的選票
and that has turned many Hispanics off from the Republican Party
這其中當然包括葡西裔共和黨的支持
that's a standard interpretation
我想這是一個一般性的解釋