should we look at a few states
我們來具體看幾個州的選情
I got all the states here
我有所有州的選情地圖
I'm not gonna try to go through them one by one
但我不會每個都講
what I'll do is talk about a few of them
我會先挑幾個來講解
and then ask if you want to see any others or we just want to have general discussion
再問問你們有哪些其他想了解的州 或者我們直接進入討論環節
certainly California we can see the big change was southern California
對比中看到 加州南部發生了明顯的變化
really only Orange County now
只剩橙縣仍然
Republican conservative bastion
堅守在保守的共和黨陣營
remaining as such Riverside, San Bernardino
其余轉藍的 河畔縣 圣布納迪諾縣
these are real foreclosure zones
都是由于樓市危機
very hard hit by the housing crisis
抵押品贖回權喪失嚴重的地區
and a major switch there
這里發生了很大的轉變
I was surprised to see San Diego switching in this direction
我對圣地亞哥轉向民主黨陣營感到驚訝
again the northern San Joaquin area, San Joaquin County, Stanislaus County, that's Modesto, Merced, shifting
在圣華金地區北部 圣華金縣 斯坦尼斯勞斯縣 莫德斯托市所在的美熹縣 都在轉藍
some rural counties like Trinity, very small population
這里的農村地區如赤尼迪 人口非常少
here's Butte County with Chico State
這是加州州立大學所在的布特縣
many thousands of college students there
聚集了成千上萬的大學生
this is Nevada County, Grass Valley area, hadn't gone Democratic since 1964 I believe
這是內華達縣 格拉斯瓦利地區 1964年以后就沒選過民主黨
it's been changing in a minute rural, sort of our natural amenity zone
是農村地區的選票發生了變化 因為這些地方自然風景宜人
people have moved to that area and that has changed the voting patterns there as well
很多人因此移入定居 導致了該地區投票傾向的變化
certainly we can see the entire Bay Area as a very dark blue
顯而易見 整個舊金山灣區是一片深藍
you could see that better on the map on my computer screen
你們看我電腦上的地圖顏色會區分地更明顯
there're still very red zones of California, Modoc Lassen County, up in the Great Basin
加州也仍然有深紅的區域 如默多克所在的雷森縣 以及靠近大盆地地區的縣
it's still solidly Republican
仍然極度支持共和黨
as would be the southern San Joaquin although there was a big blue shift here, shift in the Democratic direction
在圣華金南部地區也是如此 雖然他們很大程度上已向藍偏轉 向民主黨靠攏
not enough to change the...
但總體上仍是傾向共和黨
so Mono County here Alpine County which had been Democratic before
所以這里的莫諾縣阿爾派縣現在都轉而支持民主黨
very small populations
人口數量非常小
a number of people who've moved there for the natural amenities, mountain climbers
但有不少人移居到這 因為這里自然環境優雅 吸引了登山者
it's a real natural beauty zone, that's attracted people. so that...
這里的自然風光的確很吸引人 所以...
and I think 2004 may have been...
我記得04年(它們好像還是泛紅的)
maybe 2000 but they certainly were Republican back in the days when they were predominantly ranching counties as they have been
又或者是2000年 總之以前它們的確是傾向共和黨的 在它們還是主要以牧場經濟為生的年代 它們的確是傾向共和黨
but when you have such a small population base
但考慮到該地區人口基數小
it's not hard to switch it
要轉變它的選情不難