評論
打印
just show you one map here of Senate Races to show you how different things look
給你們看看這幅參議員競選的地圖 看看情況有多么的不同
Mark Pryor won every county by a landslide but he wasn't opposed
馬克普萊爾壓倒性地贏得所有縣的支持 他的當選沒有任何異議
in Arkansas Pryor is a conservative Democrat
普萊爾是阿肯色的保守派民主黨人
very fundamentalist
地道的正統基督信徒
so here Arkansas with this great red shift
然而阿肯色卻在大選中大幅向紅偏轉
well it wasn't reflected here
這是讓人意想不到的
you can see Max Baucus winning every county in Montana
還有馬克思鮑卡斯 他也拿下了蒙大拿的所有縣
he was opposed but not much of an opposition
有人反對他當選 但反對的聲音很微弱
Oregon is fascinating
俄勒岡的選情引人注目
because the Democratic challenger won
雖然民主黨候選人只贏得了
taking Multnomah County, Lane County, Benton County, Lincoln County and it looks like Hood River that's all
姆爾特諾默縣 萊恩縣 本頓縣 林肯縣以及胡德河縣
the concentration of population in Democrats in those areas
但幾乎大部分人口都聚居在這些民主黨獲勝的地區
Virginia was a Democratic pickup and you can see it was a huge one
民主黨還拿下了弗吉尼亞 圖中可見民主黨大獲全勝
even more so in the Senatorial Race in Virginia did we see the switch to the Democratic Party
在參議員選舉中我們看到弗吉尼亞 以更大的幅度轉向民主黨
there would be a runoff in Georgia
在喬治亞州流失了席位
Colorado New Mexico both went for Democrats
而科羅拉多和新墨西哥都傾向民主黨
we are still waiting on the count in Minnesota
明尼蘇達的選票結果還沒出來
Al Franken was down by 230 votes
阿爾 弗蘭肯目前獲得了230票
and it's interesting you can go to 5 38 and see these statistical analyses of that
你可以去538網站看看 上面有預測雙方獲勝的數據分析
all these scenarios of what his chances are
在不同的情況下結果有什么區別
I think Nate Silver guess Al a 35% chance of winning
我記得斯維爾預測他的獲勝可能是35%
but that's in recount
不過目前在重新計算中
but you can just see how different patterns can look when we look at state level
你從這幅圖中可以看見州級傾向和縣級有多么不同
we see the House of Representatives
來看看眾議員的選舉情況
the color is again washing out
顏色又有點失真
but the lighter blue shows pickups for the Democrats
淺藍色指民主黨人獲得更多席位
you can see a number of them
你看到好幾個淺藍色選區
the lighter red shows Republican pickups so there were a couple, certainly more Democratic pickups
淺紅色指共和黨人獲得更多席位 也有好幾個 對比之下民主黨的收獲更大
it's interesting I've heard some Democratic pundits say that the Republican Party is becoming a southern-only party
我聽過一些民主黨的權威人士稱 共和黨正逐漸淪落為一個只在南方得勢的政黨
well we sure don't see it on maps like this
從地圖中來看情況完全不是這樣的
I think that's more of sort of figment of their imagination what they would hope what happen
我想那只是民主黨人的一種不現實的想象 我們當然希望那樣的情況發生
what we can say though is that New England now is solidly Democratic
我們確定的是新英格蘭地區已成為堅實的民主黨支持區
only one county in New England went for McCain and there's not a single member of the House of Representatives
整個新英格蘭只有一個縣支持麥凱恩 該地區沒有任何一名眾議員來自共和黨
so the Republican Party right now is pretty much dead in New England
可見共和黨在新英格蘭的勢力已幾近灰飛煙滅
now I suspect it'll come back
不過我相信它的勢力會逐漸恢復
but well Maine did reelected Republican senator Susan Collins but she's not very conservative
緬因州還是選出了一名共和黨參議員的她是蘇珊 柯林斯 但她并不是一名很保守的共和黨人
