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The pair now treat that episode as old history,
盡管如今土俄雙方已經(jīng)摒棄前嫌，
but it shows what can happen when these two strong-willed leaders are at cross-purposes in Syria, the place where their interests are most clearly at odds.
但這些舊賬可以說明，一旦兩位固執(zhí)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人在敘利亞問題上——兩國利益在敘利亞問題上沖突最為明顯——目的向左會發(fā)生什么。
Erdogan wants Syria’s Bashar Assad out.Russia considers Assad its most important Middle East ally.
埃爾多安希望敘利亞的巴沙爾·阿薩德出局，俄羅斯則視阿薩德為最重要的中東盟友。
And now Turkey has launched a ground assault in Syria, one that’s intended to push Syrian Kurds from territory they hold near the Turkish border.
現(xiàn)在，土耳其已經(jīng)在敘利亞發(fā)起了地面進(jìn)攻，試圖將占領(lǐng)了靠近土耳其邊境地區(qū)的敘利亞庫爾德人驅(qū)逐出去。
The U.S. and Russia have both urged restraint and, for now, have pulled their forces from Turkey’s path.
美國和俄羅斯紛紛敦促克制，并已將各自的部隊(duì)撤出了土耳其。
But both have worked with Syria’s Kurds and would prefer that Turkey back off.
但雙方也都選擇了和敘利亞的庫爾德武裝合作，希望土耳其退兵。
Erdogan insists he will not.
然而，埃爾多安執(zhí)意進(jìn)攻。
Russian objections have been muted, but that may not last long.
俄羅斯方面反對的聲音已經(jīng)變?nèi)酰@可能不會持續(xù)太久。
Turkey will remain a member of NATO, because neither Turkey nor the alliance have good reason to cut ties.
土耳其將繼續(xù)留在北約，因?yàn)橥炼浜吐?lián)盟都沒有理由斷絕雙方的聯(lián)系。
But Erdogan’s relations with Europe and the U.S. will worsen as Turkey moves toward probable early elections later this year
但埃爾多安與歐洲和美國的關(guān)系將會惡化，因?yàn)橥炼浣衲晖硇r(shí)候可能提前大選
and he turns to anti-Western rhetoric to shore up his base.
但他為了支持自己的觀點(diǎn)而發(fā)表了反西方的言論。
He has already angered Iran, which also considers Assad a crucial ally,
埃爾多安還經(jīng)激怒了伊朗，因?yàn)橐晾室舱J(rèn)為阿薩德是重要的盟友。
and the Saudis over his support for Islamist political movements in the Arab world.
此外，他還惹火了沙特人，因?yàn)樗С种С职⒗澜绲囊了固m政治運(yùn)動。
That leaves Russia.
這就背離了俄羅斯的主張。
But Erdogan needs Putin much more than Putin needs Erdogan—and he had better be careful.
然而，埃爾多安需要普京比普京需要他更多 - 所以他最好還是小心為妙。
