評論
打印
The economy remains vulnerable to outside shocks.
經濟仍然容易受到外部沖擊。
On October 29th America's House of Representatives voted to restrict arms sales to Turkey,
10月29日，美國眾議院投票限制向土耳其出售武器，
sanction the country over its purchase of a missile-defence system from Russia, and investigate Mr Erdogan's wealth.
對土耳其從俄羅斯購買導彈防御系統進行制裁，并調查埃爾多安的財富。
Lawmakers also passed a motion recognising the Ottoman slaughter of Armenians in 1915 as genocide.
議員們還通過了一項議案，承認1915年奧斯曼帝國對亞美尼亞人的屠殺是種族滅絕。
Though the sanctions package is unlikely to become law, relations with America are at their worst in decades.
盡管制裁方案不太可能成為法律，但與美國的關系正處于幾十年來最糟糕的時期。
Another source of anxiety is an investigation in New York into
另一個焦慮的來源是紐約的一項調查，
whether Halkbank, a Turkish state lender, circumvented American sanctions against Iran.
調查土耳其國有銀行Halkbank是否規避了美國對伊朗的制裁。
In an indictment unsealed on October 15th,
在10月15日公布的一份起訴書中，
prosecutors allege that senior Turkish officials took millions of dollars in bribes to keep the scheme running.
檢察官指控土耳其高級官員收受數百萬美元賄賂以維持該計劃的運行。
A former Halkbank executive who was convicted for playing a role in the operation returned to Turkey this summer after two years in prison.
一名因參與該行動而被定罪的前Halkbank高管在入獄兩年后于今年夏天回到土耳其。
On October 21st he was appointed head of the Istanbul stock exchange.
10月21日，他被任命為伊斯坦布爾證交所負責人。
Turkey expects growth of 0.5% this year, and 5% in 2020.
土耳其預計今年經濟增長0.5%，2020年增長5%。
If interest rates are cut further in pursuit of that goal, the country risks another currency crisis.
如果為了實現這一目標而進一步降低利率，土耳其將面臨另一場貨幣危機。
The central bank has already burned through billions of dollars in reserves to prop up the lira.
為了支撐里拉，央行已經燒盡了數十億美元的儲備。
It may no longer have the means to defend the currency in the face of sanctions, or if global interest rates rise.
在面臨制裁或全球利率上升的情況下，土耳其可能不再有能力捍衛其貨幣。
Turks have run to the dollar for safety. Foreign-currency deposits at Turkish banks have surged.
土耳其人為了安全紛紛轉向美元。土耳其銀行的外幣存款激增。
And lack of independence makes monetary policymakers' job harder. "They have a credibility issue," says Kerim Rota, a former banker.
缺乏獨立性使得貨幣政策制定者的工作更加困難。前銀行家克里姆羅塔 表示，“他們有信譽問題?！?/div>
Interest rates will need to be higher to control inflation than if the market believed the central bank was in charge, he says.
他表示，要想控制通脹，利率必須高于市場認為由央行負責時的水平。
But no one now thinks it can raise rates without Mr Erdogan's say-so.
但是現在沒有人覺得，沒有埃爾多安的許可，它可以提高利率。
譯文由可可原創，僅供學習交流使用，未經許可請勿轉載。
