評論
打印
The people who we find are the highest-risk offenders,
那些我們抓獲的高危險罪犯，
the people who we think have the highest likelihood of committing a new crime if they're released,
那些被認為一旦釋放會有極高的可能性再次犯罪的人，
we see nationally that 50 percent of those people are being released.
在全國范圍內，其中的50%正在回歸社會。
The reason for this is the way we make decisions.
是我們做決定的方式導致的這種結果。
Judges have the best intentions when they make these decisions about risk, but they're making them subjectively.
法官懷著善意做出這些有風險的決定，但這是主觀的決定。
They're like the baseball scouts 20 years ago who were using their instinct and their experience to try to decide what risk someone poses.
他們就像20年前的棒球偵查員，他們憑本能和經驗試著去判斷某個人制造的危險。
They're being subjective, and we know what happens with subjective decision making, which is that we are often wrong.
他們是主觀的，我們知道主觀決策會導致什么，那就是我們常常犯錯。
What we need in this space are strong data and analytics.
我們需要的是有力的數據和分析。
What I decided to look for was a strong data and analytic risk assessment tool,
我決定尋找一個有力的數據分析的風險評估工具，
something that would let judges actually understand with a scientific and objective way what the risk was that was posed by someone in front of them.
這個工具會讓法官以科學的客觀的方式去了解什么樣的風險擺在他們面前。
I looked all over the country, and I found that between five and 10 percent of all U.S. jurisdictions actually use any type of risk assessment tool,
我找遍了全國，發現5%至10%的美國管轄區域實際使用了某些類型的風險評估工具，
and when I looked at these tools, I quickly realized why.
我查看了這些評估工具之后，很快意識到其中緣由。
They were unbelievably expensive to administer, they were time-consuming,
它們應用起來非常昂貴，非常耗時，
they were limited to the local jurisdiction in which they'd been created.
它們被限制在地方管轄區域，因為它們就出自那里。
So basically, they couldn't be scaled or transferred to other places.
因此，基本上，它們不能擴展或轉移到其他地方。
So I went out and built a phenomenal team of data scientists and researchers and statisticians to build a universal risk assessment tool,
所以我組建了一個出色的團隊，由數據科學家和研究人員還有統計人員組成，建立一個通用的風險評估工具，
so that every single judge in the United States of America can have an objective, scientific measure of risk.
這樣一來，全美的每一個法官都可以做一個客觀、科學的風險評估。
