Talk very briefly about innovation cycles, things that grow, have a lot of activity; they die out when they're replaced by something else.
簡短地談一下發明創造的周期,周期發展時會衍生許多活動,當這些活動被其他活動取代,此周期就滅亡了。
These things tend to happen every 25 years. 40 years long, with an overlap. You can put that statement on all kinds of different technologies.
這樣的周期每25年出現一次。持續40年的時間,有些周期相互交疊。你可以將此觀點放至不同的科技。
The interesting thing -- by the way, the speed here, excuse me, higher-speed travel is the title of these innovation cycles. There is none here.
這有趣的事情-- 順便一提,這里的速度,不好意思,高速旅行是這些發明創造周期的標題。這里沒有一個。
These two new airplanes are the same speed as the DC8 that was done in 1958.
這兩架飛機與1958年制造的DC8速度相同。
Here's the biggie, and that is, you don't have innovation cycles if the government develops and the government uses it.
這是件大事,那就是,你沒有發明創造周期,如果政府研發并應用其研發成果。
You know, a good example, of course, is the DARPA net. Computers were used for artillery first, then IRS.
你知道,一個好的例子,當然就是DARPA網。電腦首先應用于炮兵部隊,然后是美國國稅局(IRS)。
But when we got it, now you have all the level of activity, all the benefit from it.
但當我們得到它時,現在你擁有所有活動的級別,所有由它而來的利益。
Private sector has to do it. Keep that in mind. I put down innovation -- I've looked for innovation cycles in space; I found none.
私營部門不得不這么做。記住它。我提出發明創新-- 我期待看到宇宙空間的發明創新周期,但我什么也沒發現。
The very first year, starting when Gagarin went in space, and a few weeks later Alan Shepherd, there were five manned space flights in the world -- the very first year.
在最初的那一年,從加加林和和幾周后阿蘭·謝巴德進入太空開始,世界上有五次人造飛船航行;在最初的那一年。
In 2003, everyone that the United States sent to space was killed. There were only three or four flights in 2003.
2003年,美國的送入太空的每個人都犧牲了。2003年只有三或四次飛行。
In 2004, there were only two flights: two Russian Soyuz flights to the international manned station.
2004年,只有兩次飛行:兩次俄羅斯聯盟號飛船飛行至國際空間站。
And I had to fly three in Mojave with my little group of a couple dozen people in order to get to a total of five,
而我不得不和我的兩隊人馬一起在莫哈維沙漠起飛三次,為了達到5次飛行的總數,
which was the number the same year back in 1961. There is no growth. There's no activity. There's no nothing.
這是1961年的數字。 沒有進步。沒有活動。什么也沒有。
This is a picture here taken from SpaceShipOne. This is a picture here taken from orbit.
這張照片取自一號太空飛船。這張照片取自軌道。
Our goal is to make it so that you can see this picture and really enjoy that.
我們的目標是拍下這些照片,這樣大家就能看到它,真正地喜歡它。
We know how to do it for sub-orbital flying now, do it safe enough -- at least as safe as the early airlines -- so that can be done.
我們知道如何為亞軌道飛行拍照片,非常安全地做這件事-- 至少像早期的航線一樣安全--所以可以做。
And I think I want to talk a little bit about why we had the courage to go out and try that as a small company.
我認為我想了點兒為什么我們有勇氣嘗試飛到太空,我們是個小公司。