Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump has an unprecedented lead in the race for the 2016 nomination. Trump's consistent victories in the primaries have left him far ahead of his contenders, Ted Cruz and John Kasich. With the reality of Trump getting the Republican nomination, Republicans may turn to a last resort: a brokered convention. So what is a brokered convention, and could it keep Donald Trump out of the presidential race?
共和黨總統候選人唐納德·特朗普在2016年提名競爭中處于前所未有的領先地位。特朗普在初選中的持續勝利讓他遠遠領先于競爭者泰德·克魯茲和約翰·卡西奇。由于特朗普獲得了共和黨提名，共和黨可能會轉而采取最后的手段：協商會議。那么，什么是協商會議？此會議能否讓唐納德·特朗普離開總統競選？
Well, if Trump continues to dominate the primaries, he will likely reach enough delegates to automatically win the Republican nomination:"the magic number". This number changes slightly from election to election, but this year it's 1,237, representing half of the total delegates, plus one. Mitt Romney reached the 2012 election's magic number in May, and analysts predict so will Trump.
如果特朗普繼續在初選中占據主導地位，他很可能會接觸到足夠多的代表，自動贏得共和黨提名：“神奇的數字”。這一數字在不同選舉之間略有變化，但今年為1237名，占代表總數的一半再多一名。米特·羅姆尼在5月達到了2012年大選的神奇數字，分析人士預測特朗普也會如此。
But if Trump's numbers can be staved off by the remaining two other candidates, and nobody gets the magic number, then the Republican National Committee holds, what is called, a "brokered convention". In this extremely rare event, all delegates votes are cleared, and a new round of voting among representatives and the political elite determines the final nominee, not Republican voters.
但是，如果特朗普的數字被剩下的另外兩位候選人影響，而沒有人達到神奇的數字，那么共和黨全國委員會就會舉行所謂的“協商會議”。在這一極其罕見的事件中，所有候選人的選票都被清零，由黨內代表和政治精英的新一輪投票決定最終候選人，而不是由共和黨選民選出。
In the 1800's, Brokered Conventions were a fairly common way of choosing nominees. But states began to hold primaries and caucuses in the mid 20th century, and the process proved to be a more effective, and democratic way of producing a clear winner. In recent history, the US has only seen two brokered conventions, the last for Republicans was in 1948.
在19世紀，協商會議是選擇候選人的一種相當普遍的方式。但各州在20世紀中期開始舉行初選和黨團會議，事實證明，這一進程是產生明確贏家的更有效、更民主的方式。在近代史上，美國只舉行了兩次協商會議，共和黨的最后一次協商會議是在1948年。
The candidate who gets the most votes at a brokered convention ultimately wins the nomination, regardless of their number of delegates going in. That means that even if Trump gets more delegates in the primaries, he may still lose the nomination.
在協商會議上獲得最多選票的候選人最終贏得提名，無論他們的代表人數有多少。這意味著，即使特朗普在初選中獲得更多代表，他仍可能失去提名。
And while Trump is confident he'll easily win the delegate count, John Kasich is not so sure. In a CBS interview, Kasich said that he intends to stay in the race and split the vote, preventing any candidate from reaching the magic number.
然而特朗普有信心可以輕松贏得代表人數，但約翰·卡西奇并不那么確定。卡西奇在接受哥倫比亞廣播公司采訪時表示，他打算繼續參加競選，瓜分選票，阻止任何候選人達到神奇的數字。
According to Kasich, out of the ten contested Republican conventions, the leading candidate only got the nomination three times. But according to a political analyst, there has only been one Republican contested convention since modern primary rules were adopted, and the front runner won the nomination. And with the GOP actively engaged against a Trump presidency, a brokered convention would almost certainly mean the end of his campaign. But it's still too early to conclude that Trump has cinched the nomination, or that the elite will block him in a brokered convention.
根據卡西奇的說法，在共和黨十大競選大會中，這位領先的候選人只獲得了三次提名。但根據一位政治分析家的說法，自從采用現代初選規則以來，只舉行了一次共和黨競選大會，并且這位領先的候選人贏得了提名。而在共和黨積極反對特朗普當選總統的情況下，協商會議幾乎肯定意味著他競選的結束。但現在斷定特朗普已經鎖定提名，或者精英們將在協商會議上阻止他提名，還為時尚早。
However the race plays out, there's no denying that Trump's early and unrivaled success has shocked both Americans and the Grand Old Party. Well before its 2016 convention, the Republican Party has been trying to stop Donald Trump from winning the nomination. To learn more on their methods for doing that, check our video at the top.
無論競爭如何進行，不可否認的是，特朗普早期無與倫比的成功震驚了美國人和共和黨。早在2016年大會之前，共和黨就一直在努力阻止唐納德·特朗普贏得提名。要了解更多關于他們阻止特朗普的方法，請查看我們在頂部的視頻。
Trump's rise has also been been sending shockwaves beyond American borders. Check out what the world thinks of the businessman in our video down here at the bottom. Thanks for watching, everyone! Don't forget to like and subscribe, so you can see new videos from us every day.
特朗普的崛起也在美國境外掀起了沖擊波。看看我們底部的視頻中世界對這個商人的看法。謝謝大家的收看！不要忘記喜歡和訂閱，這樣你就可以每天從我們這里獲取新的視頻。
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