評(píng)論
打印
And I will now, here, onstage, try to predict when that will happen --
現(xiàn)在，我，將在這個(gè)臺(tái)上，
that Asia will regain its dominant position as the leading part of the world, as it used to be, over thousands of years.
來(lái)預(yù)測(cè)亞洲什么時(shí)候會(huì)重奪其導(dǎo)向世界的主導(dǎo)地位，正如過(guò)去數(shù)千年一般。
And I will do that by trying to predict precisely at what year the average income per person in India, in China, will reach that of the West.
而且我會(huì)盡可能地得到一個(gè)精準(zhǔn)的預(yù)測(cè)，來(lái)說(shuō)明印度和中國(guó)的人均收入何時(shí)會(huì)達(dá)到西方的水平。
And I don't mean the whole economy, because to grow an economy of India to the size of U.K. -- that's a piece of cake, with one billion people.
我不是指整體的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力，對(duì)于印度來(lái)說(shuō)，趕超英國(guó)的整體經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力是小菜一碟，因?yàn)樗麄儞碛惺畠|人口。
But I want to see when will the average pay, the money for each person, per month, in India and China, when will that have reached that of U.K. and the United States?
但是我所想見(jiàn)得是，印度和中國(guó)的人均收入什么時(shí)候會(huì)追上英國(guó)和美國(guó)的水平？
But I will start with a historical background. And you can see my map if I get it up here. You know?
首先，我會(huì)介紹一下歷史背景。請(qǐng)問(wèn)你們可以看到我的數(shù)據(jù)圖么？可以嗎？
I will start at 1858. 1858 was a year of great technological advancement in the West.
我會(huì)從1858年開(kāi)始。1858年是西方科技水平大躍進(jìn)的一年。
That was the year when Queen Victoria was able, for the first time, to communicate with President Buchanan, through the Transatlantic Telegraphic Cable.
在這一年，維多利亞皇后可以和布坎南總統(tǒng)通過(guò)跨大西洋電報(bào)電纜來(lái)交流，這是有史以來(lái)的第一次。
And they were the first to "Twitter" transatlantically.
他們，是第一對(duì)跨大西洋的推客。
And I've been able, through this wonderful Google and Internet, to find the text of the telegram sent back from President Buchanan to Queen Victoria.
而我，通過(guò)神奇的谷歌和網(wǎng)絡(luò)找到了布坎南總統(tǒng)，回發(fā)給維多利亞皇后的電報(bào)。
And it ends like this: "This telegraph is a fantastic instrument to diffuse religion, civilization, liberty and law throughout the world."
它的結(jié)尾時(shí)這樣的：“這個(gè)電報(bào)將是一種可向世界傳播宗教、文明、自由和法律的神奇工具。”
