評論
打印
I think the Republican strategists would be concerned
我想共和黨的戰略家會感到擔憂
when they look at places like greater Atlanta undergoing this sort of substantial shift in the Democratic direction
因為大西洋州區各州的民主黨支持率出現了大幅度增長
and in Florida again it's something we talked about in the course website
在佛羅里達州 之前我們在課程網站上已經討論過了
Tampa, Hillsborough County and neighboring areas
在希爾斯伯勒縣的坦帕市及其周邊地區
big cities had gone for Bush went for Obama this time
過去支持布什的大城市都轉而支持奧巴馬
and I thought ok there's a real change here but in the long run over the last 12 not much of a change
我想這里的選情的確發生了很多變化 但從更長的時間段來看 與12年前的選情相比卻幾乎沒變
all the change has been is Orlando
唯一變化很大的是奧蘭多
Orange County, Osceola County to the south of it
在它以南的橙縣 奧西奧拉縣
this is an area that had been reliably Republican voting now Democratic voting
過去曾是忠實的共和黨陣地 現在變成了民主黨陣地
so that's been a boom area
這是一個發展迅猛的地區
lots of people moving in and it really changed the voting pattern in central Florida so that really is the big story
很多人移居到這里 導致佛州中部的選舉傾向發生了改變 這的確是一個很大的變化
I think why Florida is now at least for this election we'll see in the Democratic camp
我想這也是佛州 至少在這場大選中傾向民主黨的重要原因
Vermont where is reliably Democratic voting now
佛蒙特州現在是可靠的民主黨支持州
heavily Democratic voting
民主黨支持率非常高
New Hampshire had been a swing state
過去新罕布什爾是個搖擺州
it has at least for the XX shifted out of that category
但現在它已經穩定地傾向民主黨
we just pause for a drinking see if anyone has any questions or comments
讓我停下喝口水 有沒人有什么問題或者評論?
yes
請提問
the county around Cincinati is Hamilton
辛辛那提所在的縣漢密爾頓縣
Hamilton county
沒錯是漢密爾頓縣
it is pretty strongly blue this time but I don't see it reflected the shift
在這次大選中極為傾向民主黨 但好像這幅圖中沒有反應出這個轉變
yes you can see it is blue here
圖中你可以看到它是藍色的
it's not as blue as some of the other counties
但它的藍色沒它附近的縣那么深
actually I was gonna say that's Franklin
這個較深的是富蘭克林
yes that is Franklin County
沒錯 是富蘭克林縣
that's Columbus
哥倫布市坐落于此
Indianapolis Columba show up with more of a blue shift
印第安納波利斯 和哥倫布表現出向藍偏轉的幅度較為明顯
Hamilton County had voted for Bush in both 2000 and 2004 and voted for Barack Obama this time
漢密爾頓縣過去是支持布什的 在2000年和04年的大選都是 而這次卻轉而支持奧巴馬
which is one of the keys to Obama's victory in Ohio
這對奧巴馬在俄亥俄取得勝利非常關鍵
which is a fairly narrow victory
他在俄亥俄的獲勝優勢非常微弱
and again I would have suspected maybe a little bit more of a change there as well
所以我也覺得漢密爾頓縣的變化應該比圖中反應的更大才對
