評(píng)論
打印
OK I do want to have some time for discussion
好了 我想要留一些時(shí)間來(lái)給你們討論
I have a few other state maps we can look at if anyone has a state they really want to see
我還有一些其他州的地圖 如果有哪個(gè)州你是特別想了解的
you can ask I don't have them all but I have a couple others
可以要求我講 我還準(zhǔn)備了一些 但不是所有州都有
but I'm just curious of come as you may have yes
但我很好奇...有問(wèn)題了 請(qǐng)問(wèn)
that's a great question
這是一個(gè)很好的問(wèn)題
how will you do with population dynamics
如何考慮人口流動(dòng)在選舉中的影響
maybe I can go back to my population
我可以回到那幅人口增加的圖
actually it's my... I can find it here
讓我找一找
change in population where are people going
人口的變化和人口流向
well certainly California is still a big magnet
很明顯加州仍然是吸引人口的勝地
a lot of the California counties don't show up on the percentage growth rate
加州的縣沒(méi)有出現(xiàn)在人口增長(zhǎng)率的前幾名
because a lot of them already have so many people
因?yàn)楹芏嗫h的人口基數(shù)本來(lái)就很大了
if you look at it in absolute number so we would have counties like San Bernardino would be in the fastest growing counties
如果只看人口增長(zhǎng)的絕對(duì)人數(shù) 那么想圣貝納迪諾這樣的縣 應(yīng)該算是人口增長(zhǎng)最快的縣了
in just the terms of how many people they've added
如果只考慮他們多了多少人的話
basically you have this certain sort of thriving suburban zones
同時(shí)你還看到一些崛起中的郊區(qū)地帶
mostly in the Sun Belt but not entirely
大部分分布在南部各州 但也不盡然
that area is around Minneapolis and Saint Paul look how they have grown
例如明尼阿波利斯和圣保羅附近 你看到人口的迅速增長(zhǎng)
also university towns often are population growth magnets Dane County of Madison, Wisconsin
還有大學(xué)城也是吸引人口的大磁場(chǎng) 如威斯康辛 麥迪遜所在的戴恩縣
you can see how it's grown
人口增長(zhǎng)明顯
you can see Detroit huge decline
你還會(huì)看到底特律人口大幅下降
but Oakland County Washtenaw County these others they've seen corresponding growth
但奧克蘭縣 沃什特瑙縣 則有相應(yīng)的人口增長(zhǎng)
well Washtenaw that's where Ann Arbor is has long been Democratic
沃什特瑙縣是安亞伯市所在地 一直以來(lái)都支持民主黨
Oakland County relatively weldable county has recently shifted from the Republican to the Democratic side
一個(gè)立場(chǎng)較為搖擺的縣 近幾屆也從共和黨陣營(yíng)轉(zhuǎn)而投入民主黨的懷抱
but not by very much
雖然優(yōu)勢(shì)不明顯
but that's what the real sort of battle is going to be
可見(jiàn)紅藍(lán)之間的激烈斗爭(zhēng)
and you can see even in South Dakota you have Sioux Falls really gaining in population has suburbs now
在南達(dá)科他地區(qū)你也能看到蘇瀑地區(qū)的人口也在上升 包括郊區(qū)
how are these areas going to go so I think that's really key
這些地區(qū)傾向哪個(gè)陣營(yíng)是大選中的關(guān)鍵
some sociologist of religion have said that
一些研究地區(qū)變化的社會(huì)學(xué)家稱
in these really fast growing suburbs we get these instant towns
在這些快速增長(zhǎng)的郊區(qū) 出現(xiàn)了迅速崛起的城鎮(zhèn)
and people don't know their neighbors
人們與鄰居不相往來(lái)
there often isn't very good very well developed infrastructure
通常這些地區(qū)也沒(méi)有建設(shè)完善的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施
the big megachurches move in and sort of fill that social role
大教堂在這些地區(qū)迅速建成 充當(dāng)起它本應(yīng)由的社會(huì)角色
and that correlates with highly Republican voting patterns
這些地區(qū)常常有著較高的共和黨支持率
that may be changing we'll see what this election brings
但情況也在發(fā)生變化 這次大選結(jié)果如何即將揭曉
but I suspect that a lot of these suburban counties that had been pretty heavily Republican are going to be switching
但我認(rèn)為 這些快速發(fā)展的郊縣 雖然曾非常傾向共和黨 但現(xiàn)在正在向民主黨靠攏
but in some parts of the country more than others
但在美國(guó)的其他地方
actually looking at this I'm surprised how conservative a lot of these Minneapolis suburbs are
它們的情況讓我感到驚訝 明尼阿普利斯的城郊地區(qū)很多都非常保守
I just find Minneapolis is a lot like San Francisco
我一直覺(jué)得明尼阿普利斯很像三藩市
in the city yes but you get in the suburbs no
城市里的確很像 但它們的城郊卻非常不同
