評(píng)論
打印
Guys, we have an issue. Growth is fading away, and it's a big deal.
各位，我們遇到問題了。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長逐漸放緩，這可是個(gè)大問題。
Our global economy stops growing. And it's not new.
全球經(jīng)濟(jì)停止增長。這已經(jīng)不是什么新聞了。
Growth has actually declined for the last 50 years.
事實(shí)上，過去50年來增速一直在逐漸放緩。
If we continue like this, we need to learn how to live in a world with no growth in the next decade.
如果這一態(tài)勢(shì)延續(xù)下去，我們就必須學(xué)習(xí)如何在無經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的情況下生存。
This is scary because when the economy doesn't grow, our children don't get better lives.
這聽起來很恐怖，因?yàn)橐坏┙?jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展停滯，我們的孩子就無法擁有更好的生活。
What's even scarier is that when the pie does not grow, each of us get a smaller piece.
更加可怕的是一旦餡餅不再變大，每個(gè)人分到的份額就會(huì)更小，
We're then ready to fight for a bigger one. This creates tensions and serious conflicts. Growth matters a lot.
要隨時(shí)備戰(zhàn)以爭(zhēng)取更大的餡餅。形勢(shì)就會(huì)緊張，出現(xiàn)嚴(yán)重的沖突。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長事關(guān)重大。
If we look at the history of growth, times of big growth have always been fueled by big manufacturing revolutions.
如果我們回顧經(jīng)濟(jì)增長史，就會(huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)高速增長往往都由大型工業(yè)革命帶動(dòng)。
It happened three times, every 50-60 years.
這在歷史上一共發(fā)生了三次，每50到60年一次。
The steam engine in the middle of the 19th century, the mass-production model in the beginning of the 20th century, thanks, Mr. Ford.
它們分別是：19世紀(jì)中葉的蒸汽機(jī)，20世紀(jì)早期的大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)模型——這要感謝福特先生。
And the first automation wave in the 1970s.
和20世紀(jì)70年代的第一次自動(dòng)化浪潮。
Why did these manufacturing revolutions create huge growth in our economies?
為什么這些工業(yè)革命會(huì)引發(fā)經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長呢？
Because they have injected huge productivity improvement.
因?yàn)樗麄冿@著提高了生產(chǎn)效率。
It's rather simple: in order to grow, you need to be producing more, putting more into our economy.
這其實(shí)很簡(jiǎn)單：為了實(shí)現(xiàn)增長，人們需要生產(chǎn)更多的產(chǎn)品，為我們的經(jīng)濟(jì)投入更多的資源。
This means either more labor or more capital or more productivity.
這就意味著需要更多勞動(dòng)力，更多資本或更高的生產(chǎn)力。
Each time, productivity has been the growth lever.
每次，生產(chǎn)力都是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的杠桿因素。
