評論
打印
Wouldn't it be nice if we could be sure of a sunny day
若我們在邀請朋友前
before inviting our friends?
能確定是晴天 不是很好嗎？
Predicting a nice day should be relatively simple.
預測好天氣應該相當簡單才對
After all,we understand pretty well how the atmosphere reacts to heat and pressure...
畢竟我們非常清楚 大氣在高溫和壓力下
to form clouds and thunderstorm.
會如何形成云層和暴風雨
But no matter how hard we tried to compete all the details
但不論我們多么努力計算所有細節
it is impossible to say exactly what the weather would be in any particular place and time.
仍然無法確定在某個地點 某個時間的天氣究竟會怎樣
Instead,we make weather forecasts
但我們還是做天氣預測
using simplified models that don't take into account
利用無法考慮到
every single tiny variable.
每個小小變數的簡化模型
But tiny variables can have big consequences.
但小小的變數就能造成嚴重的后果
So,if a butterfly flaps its wings too hard in the Amazon
所以若一只蝴蝶在亞馬遜河過于用力拍翅膀
The barbecue might be a wash out.
烤肉聚會就可能成了落湯雞
It's a complex system.
這是一個復雜的系統
I think our brains are just another complex system.
我認為人的大腦也只是 另一個復雜的系統
like the earth's atmosphere.
就如同地球的大氣層
We abide by the physical laws.
我們遵守自然法則
yet are impossible to fully predict.
然而卻無法完全預測
The mind is like weather inside our heads.
心靈就好比大腦里的天氣形態
