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經濟學人:瑞典政府 生命短暫

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Sweden's government

瑞典政府
That was quick
生命短暫
Stefan Lofven's fall shows the strength of the far-right Sweden Democrats
瑞典首相斯特凡·勒文下臺,彰顯瑞典“極右翼”民主黨實力
IT WAS supposed to be the Swedish Social Democrats' triumphant return. But two months after forming a minority coalition government with the Greens, Stefan Lofven, the Social Democratic leader, has been forced to step down as prime minister. The four-party centre-right opposition alliance enlisted the support of the far-right, anti-immigrant Sweden Democrats to vote down his budget, pushing through a budget of its own instead. Mr Lofven might have let the other parties try to form a new government. But instead he plans to call an “extra” election on March 22nd.
瑞典社會民主黨與綠黨組建了少數黨聯合政府,這本應是社會民主黨的勝利回歸,但兩個月之后,該黨主席、瑞典首相斯特凡·勒文被迫下臺。由于四黨“中右翼”反對派聯盟和反移民的瑞典“極右翼”民主黨的聯合反對,勒文政府提交的財政預算案未能通過,而該反對派聯盟提交的預算案卻得以通過。勒文本可以給予其他黨派組建新政府的機會,但他卻計劃于明年的3月22號再次參加大選。

Such high political drama is rare inSweden, where advance negotiations before parliamentary votes normally mean the budget passes with little fuss. The only previous special election was in 1958. Social Democratic-led governments, in particular, have usually sat out their four-year terms in an orderly fashion.

這樣的高層政治鬧劇在瑞典難得一見,正常情況下,在議會選舉前進行談判意味著財政預算案會順利通過。瑞典首次舉行打破常規的選舉是在1958年。就社會民主黨而言,該黨通常會以有序的狀態執政,順利完成四年的任期。
But Sweden has never before had to contend with a far-right party that enjoys as much support as the Sweden Democrats. The party is the third-largest in parliament. Without its backing, neither the centre-right alliance nor a coalition of the Social Democrats, Greens and the small Left party commands a majority. Worse, a new election could see the Sweden Democrats grow stronger, although the absence on sick leave of their leader, Jimmie Akesson, may count against them. The Sweden Democrats say they blocked the government's budget because it failed to meet their goal of cutting immigration by some 90%. They also accused Mr Lofven of shutting them out of discussions on the budget and other issues.
但瑞典歷史上從未面臨過需要與和瑞典民主黨有著同樣多支持者的“極右翼”黨派對抗的境況。該黨是議會第三大黨。沒有它的支持,無論是“中右翼”聯盟,還是社會民主黨、綠黨和小型的“左翼”黨派組建的聯合政府,都不會形成多數黨。雪上加霜的是,盡管瑞典民主黨主席吉米·阿克森的病假缺席可能為他們帶來不利,但在新一輪的選舉中該黨仍會增強實力。同時,譴責勒文不準許他們參與預算案及其他問題討論的行為。
Mr. Lofven fired back, calling the Sweden Democrats' actions “utterly irresponsible”. And he promised that, should he be asked to form a new government, he will continue to freeze them out. The centre-right alliance, he claimed, would let them have a voice. Before the budget vote, Mr Lofven forlornly appealed to the alliance parties to avoid a crisis and reject support for their budget plans from the Sweden Democrats. But after a late-night meeting on December 2nd, they refused to negotiate over a new budget.
勒文對此作出回擊,稱瑞典民主黨的行為是“完全不負責任的”行為。他決意表示,如果他還有機會組建新政府,會繼續無視他們。他聲稱,“中右翼”聯盟會聽取他們的意見。在財政預算案投票之前,勒文無力地呼吁各聯盟黨派避免分歧,放棄支持瑞典民主黨提交的財政預算案。但12月02號深夜召開的會議之后,同盟黨派拒絕商議新的財政預算案。
Mr Lofven may go down as the shortest-lived elected prime minister in Swedish history, and his Social Democrats, already at an all-time low with the electorate, have lost more voter confidence. The larger questions are how much more the Sweden Democrats will transform a traditionally compromise-oriented political landscape and what happens if the March ballot produces a similar hung parliament. Mr Lofven seemed flummoxed by the far-right party's support for the alternative budget and by the alliance's unwillingness to negotiate, even though both had been well trailed. As a former trade unionist without political experience, he is used to consensus, not crisis.
勒文下臺,成為瑞典史上在位時間最短的首相,同時,他領導的社會民主黨所得票數達到歷史最低水平,這讓更多的選民失去信心。更大的問題在于瑞典民主黨會在多大程度上改變以折中為傳統解決方式的政治形勢,如果三月份的投票選舉產生一個相似的少數派議會,又將如何處理。雖然勒文政府已經使出渾身解數進行拖延,但“極右翼”黨派仍然支持瑞典民主黨的預算案,且“中右翼”聯盟不愿進行協商,這讓勒文顯得狼狽不堪。他作為一個沒有執政經驗的前工會會員,習慣于達成一致,而不是產生分歧。
But if Mr Lofven was surprised by the outcome,Sweden's election authority was not. Even as the politicians were arguing, it pragmatically ordered six million envelopes for paper ballots and began preparing for a new election. Swedish taxpayers will pay about 250m krona ($33m) for the privilege of going to the polls again.
如果說,這樣的結果對勒文來說是意料之外,對瑞典的選舉委員會來說,卻是意料之中。就在各黨派政治家爭辯不休之時,它從實際出發,預定了600萬份選票,為新一輪大選做好準備。瑞典納稅人將再次為選民投票支付2.5億克朗(約合美元3300萬)。譯者:石海霞 校對:王穎

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