Section B
52--56 CDBAD
Section B
52.細(xì)節(jié)推斷題。文中第一段末提出“The link between interest rates and inflation is uncertain.And there are long,variable lags before policy changes have any effect on the economy。”,由此可以判斷選項C為正確答案。
53.推斷題。從文中第二段、第三段舉例可以看出,我們的經(jīng)濟inflation rate總比預(yù)測的要低、要好。因而正確答案為D項。
54.意義推斷題。第一段末談到“And there are long,variable lags before policy changes have any effect on the economy”,由此排除選項D。最后一段說“since conventional measures suggest that both economies,esp.America's,have little productive slack”,意思就是講過去傳統(tǒng)的方法對某些經(jīng)濟預(yù)測不管用了,由此可以看出選項A不對。再看文末“both economies,esp.America's,have little productive slack.America's capacity utilization,for example,hit historically high levels earlier this year,and its jobless rate has fallen below most”,美國經(jīng)濟通脹率低,生產(chǎn)蕭條狀況少,生產(chǎn)能力極大發(fā)揮,失業(yè)率降到最高水平以下,由此可以反向推斷,失業(yè)率高,經(jīng)濟通脹率就會低;失業(yè)率低,經(jīng)濟通脹率就會高。因而正確答案為B項。
55.意義推斷題。先看其上下文“3.5%in 1995.In fact,it fell to 2.6% in August,and is expected to average only about 3% for the year as a whole.In Britain and Japan inflation is running half a percentage below the rate predicted at the end of the last year.This is no flash in the pan;over the past couple of years,inflation has been consistently lower than expected in Britain and America”,文前,文后都講經(jīng)濟通脹率低于預(yù)期,由此我們可以判斷“This is no flash in the pan”,也就意味著低經(jīng)濟通脹仍將繼續(xù)(整個經(jīng)濟不會出現(xiàn)高通脹這樣的情況)。
56.寫作態(tài)度題。最后一段,作者首先提到經(jīng)濟學(xué)家們感到surprised,隨即作者便問“Why has inflation proved so wild?”筆者最后驚呼“powerful structural changes in the world have up-ended the old economic models that were based upon the historical link between growth and inflation”,突然發(fā)現(xiàn)已經(jīng)不能根據(jù)經(jīng)濟增長和經(jīng)濟通脹之間傳統(tǒng)的聯(lián)系來預(yù)測經(jīng)濟發(fā)展規(guī)律了,因而正確答案為D項。
n. 膨脹,通貨膨脹