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So what if there were a highly obvious problem right in front of you?
假如有一個非常明顯的問題擺在你面前，
One that everyone was talking about, one that affected you directly.
一個所有人都在討論的，直接影響你的問題。
Would you do everything within your power to fix things before they got worse? Don't be so sure.
請問你會在事情變得更糟糕之前，盡你所能去解決它嗎？不要太確定你的答案。
We are all much more likely than any of us would like to admit to miss what's right in front of our eyes.
我們比那些肯承認自己會錯過的人更有可能錯過那些在眼前發生的事情。
And in fact, we're sometimes most likely to turn away from things
而且就事實上來說，有時我們更有可能逃避事情的原因
precisely because of the threat that they represent to us, in business, life and the world.
正是來自這些事情給我們的，在事業方面，生活方面，乃至世界方面的風險。
So I want to give you an example from my world, economic policy.
我想舉一個我身邊的例子——經濟政策。
So when Alan Greenspan was head of the Federal Reserve, his entire job was to watch out for problems in the US economy
當阿蘭·格林斯潘還是聯邦儲備局局長的時候，他的整個工作就是小心地監督美國經濟的潛在問題，
and to make sure that they didn't spin out of control.
并確保它們沒有失去控制。
So, after 2006, when real estate prices peaked, more and more and more respected leaders and institutions
所以，2006年以后，當房地產價格達到頂峰的時候，越來越多有名望的領導人和機構
started to sound the alarm bells about risky lending and dangerous market bubbles.
開始敲響風險貸款和危險市場泡沫的警鐘。
