Underpinning much of this is technology, and of late, exponentially growing technologies.
而這一切的基礎是科技。和近代指數式增長的科技。
My good friend Ray Kurzweil showed that any tool that becomes an information technology jumps on this curve,
我的好朋友雷·庫茲威爾展示了任何信息科技的工具 都遵從這條曲線,
on Moore's Law, and experiences price performance doubling every 12 to 24 months.
即摩爾定律。并經歷每12到24個月性價比翻一倍的增長。
That's why the cellphone in your pocket is literally a million times cheaper and a thousand times faster than a supercomputer of the '70s.
這就是為什么你口袋里的行動電話,相比70年代的超級電腦要便宜100萬倍,而且還要快上1000倍
Now look at this curve. This is Moore's Law over the last hundred years. I want you to notice two things from this curve.
再看這個曲線。這是過去幾百年里的摩爾定律。我想要大家注意這曲線所體現的2件事
Number one, how smooth it is -- through good time and bad time, war time and peace time, recession, depression and boom time.
第一,它非常的平滑-無論時代是好是壞,無論戰爭或和平,經濟衰退或增長。
This is the result of faster computers being used to build faster computers. It doesn't slow for any of our grand challenges.
這是因為更快的電腦被用來制造更更快的電腦所產生的結果。它不會因為我們面臨的巨大挑戰所延緩。
And also, even though it's plotted on a log curve on the left, it's curving upwards.
盡管在左邊呈現出對數曲線它也是仍然是向上彎曲。
The rate at which the technology is getting faster is itself getting faster.
科技前進加速的本身也在不斷變快。
And on this curve, riding on Moore's Law, are a set of extraordinarily powerful technologies available to all of us.
在這摩爾定律的曲線上,是一系列對所有人都開放的強大的科技。
Cloud computing, what my friends at Autodesk call infinite computing; sensors and networks; robotics; 3D printing,
云計算,我在Autodesk公司的朋友稱之為無限計算;傳感器和網絡,機器人;3D打印,
which is the ability to democratize and distribute personalized production around the planet; synthetic biology; fuels, vaccines and foods;
讓我們獲得在全世界范圍普及和部署個性化生產的能力;人造生命;帶來新的燃料,疫苗和食物;
digital medicine; nanomaterials; and A.I. I mean, how many of you saw the winning of Jeopardy by IBM's Watson?
數字化醫藥;納米材料和人工智能。觀眾中多少人看到了IBM的Watson超級電腦在Jeopardy智力競賽的獲勝?
I mean, that was epic. In fact, I scoured the headlines looking for the best headline in a newspaper I could.
那真是太偉大了。我查看各種報紙的新聞頭條找到我覺得最好的
And I love this: "Watson Vanquishes Human Opponents." Jeopardy's not an easy game.
我喜歡這句:”Watson征服人類對手。“Jeopardy不是個容易的比賽。
It's about the nuance of human language. And imagine if you would A.I.'s like this on the cloud available to every person with a cellphone.
獲勝關鍵在于理解人類語言中的微妙細節。你可以想象一下,像這樣的人工智能存在于云計算中所有擁有行動電話的人都可以使用的景象。