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If you look at the federal budget, this is what it looks like. The orange slice is what's discretionary. Everything else is mandated.
如果你們去看看聯邦政府的預算，就是這個樣子的。橙色部分是自由資金，別的都是強制性的。
It makes no difference if we cut out the bridges to Alaska in the overall scheme of things.
在整件事情里即使我們切斷通向阿拉斯加的橋也不會發生什么變化。
So what we have to start thinking about doing is capping our medical spending because that's a monster that's simply going to eat the entire budget.
所以我們不得不開始計劃要做的，就是封住醫療支出，因為這是一頭將會要吞噬掉所有預算的怪物。
We've got to start thinking about asking people to retire a little bit later. If you're 60 to 65 you retire on time. Your 401(k) just got nailed.
我們開始想要求人們晚一點退休。如果你是在60倒65歲之間正常退休，你的退休金剛剛只受到一些影響。
If you're 50 to 60 we want you to work two years more. If you're under 50 we want you to work four more years.
如果你是50到60歲之間，我們希望你再多做兩年。如果你50不到，我們希望你再多做4年。
The reason why that's reasonable is, when your grandparents were given Social Security, they got it at 65 and were expected to check out at 68.
這樣做合理的原因是，當你祖父獲得社會保障時，他們在65歲時開始領，68歲時領完。
Sixty-eight is young today. We've also got to cut the military about three percent a year.
如今68歲算年輕了。我們也需要每年削減軍費3％。
We've got to limit other mandatory spending. We've got to quit borrowing as much, because otherwise the interest is going to eat that whole pie.
并且限制其他強制開銷。我們不能再借這么多錢，否則利息會吞噬整個預算。
And we've got to end up with a smaller government. And if we don't start changing this trend line, we are going to lose the dollar and start to look like Iceland.
最后就剩下一個更小的政府。如果我們不開始改變這個趨勢，就將會蒙受經濟上的損失，就會淪為象冰島一樣。
I got what you're thinking. This is going to happen when hell freezes over. But let me remind you this December it did snow in Vegas.
我知道你們在想什么。這一切只有在地獄封凍了才會發生。但是我提醒你今年11月維加斯的確下雪了。
Here's what happens if you don't address this stuff. So, Japan had a fiscal real estate crisis back in the late '80s.
如果你們不處理這些事，就將會發生的以下情況。日本發生過一次財政地產危機，在80年代后期。
And its 225 largest companies today are worth one quarter of what they were 18 years ago.
今天它的225家最大的企業，只有相當于18年前四分之一的價值。
We don't fix this now, how would you like to see a Dow 3,500 in 2026? Because that's the consequence of not dealing with this stuff.
我們現在不解決這個問題，你是否樂意在2026年看到一個到瓊斯3500點？因為這就是不處理這些事情的后果。
And unless you want this person to not just become the CFO of Florida, but the United States, we'd better deal with this stuff.
除非你希望這個人不僅變成佛羅里達州的首席財政官，并且掌管美國經濟，我們最好處理好這些事情。
That's the short term. That's the flame part. That's the financial crisis.
以上是目前的情況，就是火焰的部分。這就是金融危機。
