評論
打印
I'm going to talk about a failure of intuition that many of us suffer from.
我想談論一種我們很多人都經歷過的來自于直覺上的失誤。
It's really a failure to detect a certain kind of danger.
它讓人們無法察覺到一種特定危險的存在。
I'm going to describe a scenario that I think is both terrifying and likely to occur, and that's not a good combination, as it turns out.
我要向大家描述一個情景，一個我覺得既令人害怕，卻又很可能發生的情景，這樣一個組合的出現，顯然不是一個好的征兆。
And yet rather than be scared, most of you will feel that what I'm talking about is kind of cool.
不過，在座的大部分人都會覺得，我要談論的這件事其實挺酷的。
I'm going to describe how the gains we make in artificial intelligence could ultimately destroy us.
我將描述我們從人工智能中獲得的好處，將怎樣徹底地毀滅我們。
And in fact, I think it's very difficult to see how they won't destroy us or inspire us to destroy ourselves.
事實上，想看到人工智能最終不摧毀我們是很難的，或者說它必將驅使我們自我毀滅。
And yet if you're anything like me, you'll find that it's fun to think about these things.
如果你和我有共同點，你會發現思考這些問題是相當有趣的。
And that response is part of the problem. OK? That response should worry you.
而這種反應就是問題的一部分。因為這種想法應該使你感到擔憂。
And if I were to convince you in this talk that we were likely to suffer a global famine,
假如我想在這個演講中讓你們相信，
either because of climate change or some other catastrophe, and that your grandchildren, or their grandchildren,
我們因為氣候變化或者其他災難，很可能會遭受全球性的饑荒，同時你們的子孫后輩
are very likely to live like this, you wouldn't think, "Interesting. I like this TED Talk."
都可能在這樣的饑荒中掙扎求生，你們就不會覺得“真有趣，我喜歡這個TED演講。”
Famine isn't fun. Death by science fiction, on the other hand, is fun,
因為饑荒一點都不有趣。不過，科幻小說中的死亡往往卻引人入勝，
and one of the things that worries me most about the development of AI at this point
所以我現在最擔心的一個問題是，人們對人工智能的發展
is that we seem unable to marshal an appropriate emotional response to the dangers that lie ahead.
將帶來的危險，似乎還沒有形成一個正確的認識。
I am unable to marshal this response, and I'm giving this talk.
我也同樣如此，所以我想在這個演講中和大家一起探討。
