Honest error in the face of complex and possibly intractable problems is a far more important source of bad results than are bad motives
糟糕政策結果更主要的原因是 碰到復雜難解問題時所犯下的誠實錯誤 而不是出于惡劣動機
For these reasons, the greatest forces in Washington are ideas and people prepared to act on those ideas Public service, as I discovered, is not easy
因此 華盛頓最大的力量來自于觀念 以及準備將這些觀念付諸行動的人 根據我的觀察 公共服務并不容易
But, in the end if you are inclined in that direction it is a worthy and challenging pursuit Number 6
但最終 如果你選擇了這個方向 這絕對是值得干且有挑戰性的追求 六
Having taken a stab at sociology and political science let me wrap up economics while I'm at it Economics is a highly sophisticated field of thought
之前我講了社會學和政治學 下面不妨再講講我總在打交道的經濟學 經濟學是一個高度復雜精密的思維領域
That is superb at explaining to policymakers precisely why the choices they made in the past were wrong About the future, not so much
它精于向政策制定者們準確解釋 他們在過去所制定的決策為何是錯的 但關于未來 它所能做的并不多
However, careful economic analysis does have one important benefit which is that it can help kill ideas that are completely logically inconsistent or wildly at variance with the data
不過 謹慎的經濟學分析有一個重要的好處 就是幫助剔除 那些完全不合邏輯或與數據不符的想法
This insight covers at least 90 percent of proposed economic policies Number 7 I'm not going to tell you that money doesn't matter
這對至少90%的經濟政策提案都有作用 七 我不會告訴你們錢無所謂
Because you wouldn't believe me anyway In fact, for too many people around the world money is literally a life-or-death proposition
因為肯定沒人會信我 實際上 對于世界上很多人 毫不夸張 錢是涉及到生死存亡的議題
But if you are part of the lucky minority with the ability to choose remember that money is a means, not an end A career decision based only on money
但如果你有幸成為具有選擇能力的那少數人 請一定記得 錢只是手段 而不是目的 只基于錢