I'm somebody who spends a lot of time
我花了很多時間
modelling hurricanes in the current climate and future climates.
建立現在氣候和未來氣候下的颶風模型
When we do that, we begin to see hurricanes
模型告訴我們
that haven't happened yet in history, if you well,
從未出現過的颶風
but they could happen on physical grounds.
理論上可能發生
We call those "Black swan events",
我們稱之為"黑天鵝事件"
the particularly bad ones.
就是最糟糕的那種
This is something that worries me particular
對此我很擔心
because there are places around the world
因為世界上有些地方
that are at great risk from hurricanes.
極有可能遭受颶風
Some of which don't know they're at great risk from hurricanes.
但有些還不知道自己正面臨颶風的威脅
It seems scarcely credible,
聽起來似乎難以置信
but one of the places
但其中一處
he thinks could be hit by a hurricane
他認為可能會遭受颶風襲擊的地方
is here in Dubai
就是迪拜
in the Persian Gulf.
就在波斯灣
The Persian Gulf is a body of water
波斯灣中的海水
that gets very hot in the summer.
在夏天時溫度會很高
Really hot. The hot water runs very deep, as well.
非常熱 熱水會流到很深的地方
To our knowledge, in the limited history of the region,
據該地區有限的歷史記錄所知
there hasn't been a hurricane there.
那里還從未發生過颶風
There may have been one in the distant past that wasn't recorded.
很久以前可能發生過但未被記錄下來