評論
打印
OK, so as you probably figured out now, the trick is that I have two cards in each hand,
那么你現在大概能猜到了，騙術就是我每只手里都拿了兩張牌，
and when I hand one of them over, the black one kind of disappears into the black surface on the table.
當我把背面那張牌推過去的時候，黑色那張原本被選的牌就在黑色桌面的映襯下消失，被我藏起來了。
So using pictures like this, normally not more than 20 percent of the participants detect these tries.
像這樣使用照片，通常有不到20%的參與者會發現這些騙局。
And as you saw in the movie, when in the end we explain what's going on,
正如你在影片中看到的，最后我向他們解釋發生了什么的時候，
they're very surprised and often refuse to believe the trick has been made.
他們都非常的驚訝并且通常拒絕相信其中有詐。
So this shows that this effect is quite robust and a genuine effect.
這就表明，這種效應是十分強烈而又真實的。
But if you're interested in self-knowledge, as I am, the more interesting bit is,
但是，如果你和我一樣對“自知之明”感興趣的話，最有趣的部分是：
OK, so what did they say when they explained these choices?
他們會如何解釋自己所作出的選擇？
So we've done a lot of analysis of the verbal reports in these experiments.
為此，我們做了很多關于這個實驗當中口頭報告的分析。
And this graph simply shows that if you compare what they say in a manipulated trial with a nonmanipulated trial,
這張圖表明，如果你將有騙局的那組的說辭和沒有騙局的那組相比較，
that is when they explain a normal choice they've made and one where we manipulated the outcome,
他們對自己正常選擇的解釋和經過操控后的解釋，
we find that they are remarkably similar.
你會發現，是非常相似的。
So they are just as emotional, just as specific, and they are expressed with the same level of certainty.
他們都同樣的情緒化，目標明確，并且他們表達的肯定程度也處于同一水平。
So the strong conclusion to draw from this is that
從這個實驗中得到的強有力的結論是，
if there are no differences between a real choice and a manipulated choice, perhaps we make things up all the time.
如果在真正的選擇和被操控的選擇之間沒有差異的話，或許我們一直都在編造理由。
