County Population Size
各縣的人口規模
it's interesting we've talked before about population density being a fairly good predictor
也是我們之前提到過一個有趣的因素 人口密度常被用來預測一個縣的傾向
the more densely populated the county the more Democratic voting it tends to be
一個縣的人口越稠密 它就越可能傾向民主黨
this is...
下面的數據
table is showing counties over 500,000 population voting 70% for Obama
顯示人口超過50萬的縣 有70%的人支持奧巴馬
50,000-500,000 voting 69%
人口在5萬-50萬之間的支持率為69%
suburbs which can have various populations and they are counted separately here
各地城郊的人口數量變化很大 因此被單獨拿出來統計
just barely going for Obama 50% but again this is something new
總體上只有50%的人支持奧巴馬 但這折射出了一種新的局面
the suburbs as recently as the 1980s were some of the most solidly Republican voting areas
在20世紀80年代城郊 幾乎是共和黨最為忠實的支持地區
there's been a real switch
如今不少地方
in some parts of the country more than others, which we'll see later on
都已經發生了較大轉變 稍后我們會作深入討論
when we get down into the smaller counties
再來看人口規模較小的縣
small towns small counties 10,000-50,000
人口在1萬-5萬的小城鎮
53% for McCain
有53%的人支持麥凱恩
interesting in even smaller ones very rural counties, exactly the same breakdown
有趣的是在人口更為稀少的農村地區 支持率情況竟和小城鎮一摸一樣
so we're not seeing much difference from the very rural to merely the small towns and semi-rural counties
可見選民的投票傾向在欠發達的農村地區 和小鎮或半農村地區沒什么差別
Education Level, again this is something we've talked about
受教育程度 這也是我們之前討論過的影響因素
and you see the split pattern that we've seen before
這里的統計數據和以前看過的相似
those who have not finished high school pretty small, there's only four percent
高中沒畢業的人只占極少數 大概只占總人口4%
very strongly voting for the Democratic candidate
該人群極為傾向民主黨候選人
63% for Obama
63%的人支持奧巴馬
and then the post-graduate community those with post-graduate degrees 58% for Obama, 40% for McCain
而在研究生群體中 有研究生學歷的人當中 58%支持奧巴馬 40%支持麥凱恩
so it's the lowest and highest levels of education that the Democratic candidate tended to do best
可見在受教育程度最高和最低的兩群人中 民主黨候選人都是最受青睞的
we saw this as well
同時我們還發現
one thing is interesting though
另一個有趣的現象
in every educational demographic
在受教育程度不同的人群當中
the Democratic candidate Barack Obama came out ahead
民主黨候選人奧巴馬 都處于領先地位
just barely among college graduate
不過在大學生中僅有微弱優勢
which again not very long ago this is a pretty solidly Republican voting group
而在不久前的幾屆大選中 大學畢業生曾是共和黨忠實的支持群體