評論
打印
No one seems to notice that referencing the time horizon is a total non sequitur.
似乎沒有人注意到以時間作為參考系是得不出合理的結論的。
If intelligence is just a matter of information processing,
如果說智慧只包括信息處理，
and we continue to improve our machines, we will produce some form of superintelligence.
然后我們繼續改善這些機器，那么我們終將生產出超級智能。
And we have no idea how long it will take us to create the conditions to do that safely. Let me say that again.
但是，我們無法預估將花費多長時間來創造實現這一切的安全環境。我再重復一遍。
We have no idea how long it will take us to create the conditions to do that safely.
我們無法預估將花費多長時間來創造實現這一切的安全環境。
And if you haven't noticed, 50 years is not what it used to be.
你們可能沒有注意過，50年的概念已今非昔比。
This is 50 years in months. This is how long we've had the iPhone.
這是用月來衡量50年的樣子。紅色的點是代表蘋果手機出現的時間。
This is how long "The Simpsons" has been on television.
這是《辛普森一家》在電視上播出以來的時間。
Fifty years is not that much time to meet one of the greatest challenges our species will ever face.
要做好準備面對人類歷史上前所未有的挑戰，50年時間并不是很長。
Once again, we seem to be failing to have an appropriate emotional response to what we have every reason to believe is coming.
就像我剛才說的，我們對確定會來臨的事情做出了不合理的回應。
The computer scientist Stuart Russell has a nice analogy here.
計算機科學家斯圖爾特·羅素給出了一個極好的類比。
He said, imagine that we received a message from an alien civilization, which read:
他說，想象我們從外太空接收到一條訊息，上面寫著：
"People of Earth, we will arrive on your planet in 50 years. Get ready."
“地球上的人類，我們將在五十年后到達你們的星球，做好準備吧。”
And now we're just counting down the months until the mothership lands?
于是我們就開始倒計時，直到它們的“母艦”著陸嗎？
We would feel a little more urgency than we do.
在這種情況下我們會感到更緊迫。
